Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Rain and Thunderstorm Chances Continue (We/31Aug2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Wednesday / 31 August 2022

 

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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… A Lightning Threat with Thunderstorms Today Through Tonight …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) The air mass overhead continues more unstable as a moist and tropical air mass off the gulf moves ashore of the Texas coast in combination with upward lift associated with passing weak disturbances overhead. In addition, by mid into late week, a south southwestward moving “back door” cold front moves into northeast Texas and settles southwestward as it weakens and washes out. As a result, we continue to see the rain and thunderstorm chances continuing through the balance of the week through the weekend and even into early next week.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting an average rainfall of
2.00 to 3.00 inches over our area over the next seven day forecast period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A medium to high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Wednesday / 31 August 2022

TODAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 inch. High 91. Calm wind becoming east southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 75. Calm wind.

THURSDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 50% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 inch. High 91. Calm wind becoming easterly 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 50% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 inch or less. Low 74. East northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming calm.

FRIDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 50% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 inch. High 91. Calm wind becoming easterly 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 50% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 inch or less. Low 75. Light easterly wind becoming calm.

SATURDAY…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 50% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 inch. High 91. Calm wind becoming east northeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat before 8pm. Given a 40% chance of rain before 8pm and a 20% after 8pm at any given location, rainfall will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 75. Light easterly wind becoming calm.

SUNDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 60% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 to 0.50 inch. High 89. Calm wind becoming east southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 50% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 74. Light wind.

MONDAY /LABOR DAY/…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 50% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 inch. High 89. Calm wind becoming easterly 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 50% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 74. Light wind.

TUESDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 inch. High 89. Calm wind becoming easterly 4 to 8 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 07 September through Tuesday / 13 September 2022
Temperatures… Near Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (31 Aug)………………………………………… 7:07 am
Sunset this evening (31 Aug)………………………………………….. 7:54 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (01 Sep)…………………………………………….. 7:08 am
Sunset tomorrow (01 Sep)……………………………………………… 7:53 pm