Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Summer Pattern Continues with Slim Thunderstorm Chances (Tu/28Jul2020)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Tuesday / 28 July 2020 ….

      
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… Widely Scattered Afternoon Thunderstorms with Lightning Threat …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES…

(1) A somewhat more stable weather pattern continues. Although rain chances remain in the forecast through midweek, the chances are slim and rainfall amounts will be minimal. By late week, I’m dropping rain chances from the forecast as the atmosphere stabilizes.

(2) By the weekend, a little bit of more northwesterly wind aloft to our north will allow for a weakening surface cold frontal system to backdoor its way into the north central and northeast Texas. While the system, in the latest guidance from the NWS/Weather Prediction Center, becomes stationary and weakens to our north and east, let’s keep an eye on things in case we see an increase in rain shower and thunderstorm chances to our north and northeast that could potentially move south. At this point, I feel like there’s considerable uncertainty and low confidence in forecast guidance and, as a result, I’m maintaining slim rain chances in our forecast for the time period.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Tuesday / 28 July 2020

TODAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 0.25″. High 97. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 77. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 0.25″. High 97. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 77. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 98. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 77. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 99. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 77. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy with widely scattered afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat mainly north through northeast of Austin . A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 0.25″. High 97. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat mainly north through northeast of Austin . A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 0.25″. Low 77. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy with widely scattered afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat mainly north through northeast of Austin. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 0.25″. High 96. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat mainly north through northeast of Austin before 8pm. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 0.25″. Low 77. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 98. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK          
Valid Tuesday / 04 August 2020 through Monday / 10 August 2020…
Temperatures… Near to Slightly Above Average   
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (28 July)………………………………….. 6:47 am
Sunset this evening (28 July)……………………………………. 8:27 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (29 July)………………………………………. 6:48 am
Sunset tomorrow (29 July)……………………………………….. 8:27 pm