Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Friday / 14 January 2022
Will Be Updated Shortly…
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
… No Weather Threats Expected Today or Tonight …
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) With surface low pressure developing over west Texas, we’re seeing a return southerly surface wind. Temperatures will be warming, with abundant sunshine, to well above seasonal averages today.
(2) Another stronger cold front will move quickly through the area late tonight with a few clouds but, other than the wind shift, gusty/strong wind and the arrival of the much cooler air, I am not expecting much in the way of sensible weather to accompany the frontal passage.
(3) Skies will partially clear with abundant sunshine and temperatures falling back to below seasonal averages for our weekend. Expect a windy day, with wind gusts in excess of 40 mph, tomorrow. Another weaker reinforcing cold front is expected to pass by early Monday.
(4) With abundant sunshine, as the surface high in the wake of the weak front Monday moves to the east and southerly surface winds return, temperatures will warm a bit – in fact, back to above seasonal averages – by Tuesday and Wednesday ahead of yet another cold frontal passage on late Wednesday night into early Thursday. Initial guidance suggests an approaching upper level low pressure area from the west by the end of next week which could result in increasing cloudiness and perhaps even precipitation chances in an overrunning pattern but forecast confidence is rather low by the time get out that far in the forecast.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting little if any rainfall for our area over the next seven days.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to Very High Confidence through Wednesday with Lower Confidence Thereafter
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Friday / 14 January 2022
TODAY…. Mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 76. Light wind becoming southerly and increasing to 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts by afternoon.
TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy as a cold front passes by midnight. Low 45. South southwesterly wind shifting northerly 18 to 28 mph with some higher gusts after midnight.
SATURDAY…. Mostly sunny, windy and colder. High 53. Northerly wind 20 to 30 mph with gusts to above 40 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 31. Northerly wind slowly decreasing to 8 to 18 mph.
SUNDAY…. Sunshine. High 57. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph decreasing a bit by afternoon.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 32. Winds becoming light and variable.
MONDAY /MLK DAY/…. Mostly sunny. High 65. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 38. Light east northeasterly wind.
TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 70. Light wind becoming southerly 5 to 10 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. A few clouds. Low 50. Light southerly wind.
WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 73. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Increasing cloudiness becoming partly to mostly cloudy as a cold front passes by midnight. Low 45. Southerly wind shifting northerly 8 to 15 mph.
THURSDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy, breezy and cooler with a few sprinkles developing. Rainfall amounts, given a 20%chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. High 56. Northerly wind 8 to 18 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 21 January 2022 through Thursday / 27 January 2022
Temperatures… Below Average
Precipitation… Above Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (14 January)……………………………………. 7:28 am
Sunset this evening (14 January)……………………………………… 5:52 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (15 January)………………………………………… 7:28 am
Sunset tomorrow (15 January)…………………………………………. 5:53 pm