Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Tuesday / 18 January 2022
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
… No Weather Threats Expected Today or Tonight …
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) With abundant sunshine, with southerly surface winds having returned, temperatures will be warming into tomorrow.
(2) Another stronger cold frontal passage is expected by early tomorrow night. As much colder air moves southward over the area, an approaching upper level low pressure area from the west will create atmospheric lift and will result in increasing cloudiness and perhaps even precipitation chances in a brief overrunning pattern on Thursday. I am thinking that the atmosphere will be a little short on moisture with this event and any rain chances will be south and southeast of our local area. Surface temperatures, although much colder in the wake the front, are still forecast be above freezing during the time period that precipitation will most likely occur. In addition, afternoon highs today and tomorrow in the 70s will mean the ground will still be quite warm on Thursday. Bottom line, even if we were to get a little sleet or a few snow flakes as this system passes, there will be little impact.
3) In the wake of the disturbance, skies will clear again late Thursday night and Friday and will continue that way through the upcoming weekend. Temperatures will continue to be well below seasonal averages through the weekend and into next week with a light to moderate freeze, especially in outlying and low lying areas Thursday night into Friday and again Friday night.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting rainfall of less than 0.25 inch for our area over the next seven days.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to very high confidence through tomorrow and tomorrow night then lower confidence, with any precipitation, Thursday into Thursday night. A high confidence forecast returns for Friday into early next week.
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Tuesday / 18 January 2022
TODAY…. Mostly sunny. High 76. Southerly 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early. Some lower clouds after midnight. Low 54. South southwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph with some higher gusts decreasing late.
WEDNESDAY…. Morning low clouds and patchy fog. Becoming mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 78. Light southerly wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Increasing cloudiness. Turning windy and much colder as a cold front passes in the early evening hours. Low 32. South southwesterly wind shifting northerly 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts.
THURSDAY…. Mostly cloudy, breezy and unseasonably cold. A few sprinkles or rain showers developing. Rainfall amounts, given a 20%chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05 inch. High 38. Northerly wind 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles before 8pm. Decreasing clouds after midnight. Rainfall amounts, given a 20%chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05 inch. Temperatures falling below freezing by 10pm with an overnight low of 27. Northerly wind 8 to 18 mph slowly decreasing late.
FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny and unseasonably cold. High 46. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 28. Winds becoming light north northeasterly.
SATURDAY…. Mostly sunny and continued unseasonably cold. High 52. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 32. Light east northeasterly wind.
SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 55. Easterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 38. Light wind.
MONDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 58. Easterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 25 January 2022 through Monday / 30 January 2022
Temperatures… Slightly Below Average
Precipitation… Near to Slightly Above Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (18 January)……………………………………. 7:28 am
Sunset this evening (18 January)……………………………………… 5:56 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (19 January)………………………………………… 7:27 am
Sunset tomorrow (19 January)…………………………………………. 5:57 pm