Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Wednesday / 02 November 2022
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
… No Hazards Expected …
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) We find ourselves in a rather benign fall weather pattern continuing into Thursday with afternoon high temperatures warming back to above seasonal averages. Patchy morning low clouds and fog will be present in some areas.
(2) Our next weather system will be a strong upper level low pressure disturbance and an associated surface cold front is forecast to approach and then move across Texas beginning Friday and then overhead of the IH35 corridor Friday night into the predawn hours Saturday. Clouds and rain and thunderstorm chances show up beginning on Friday then peaking Friday night and ending in the predawn hours Saturday. Some stronger thunderstorms with strong winds are possible.
(3) In the wake of the cold front late Friday night, a cooler, drier and more stable air mass will take over with abundant sunshine and less humid conditions Saturday through Sunday.
(4) South southeasterly winds return with low level moisture increasing Sunday night into Monday and Tuesday of next week. Late night and early morning low clouds are expected with afternoon high temperatures warming to well above seasonal averages.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance suggests, on average, 0.50 inch rainfall totals over the next seven day forecast period.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast through tomorrow night before falling back to a medium to high confidence forecast for Friday through predawn Saturday then back to a very high confidence forecast Saturday night into the first half of next week.
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Wednesday / 02 November 2022
TODAY…. Morning low clouds then becoming partly cloudy. High 78. Calm wind becoming south southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with late night low clouds. A few sprinkles possible after midnight. Given a less than 20% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. Low 64. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
THURSDAY…. Morning low clouds with a few sprinkles. Becoming partly cloudy by midday into the afternoon. Given a less than 20%chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. Unseasonably warm. High 84. South southeasterly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early then becoming mostly cloudy. Widely scattered rain showers late. Given a 20%chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.05 inch. Low 69. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.
FRIDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly to mostly cloudy. Breezy and unseasonably warm. A few rain showers in the morning then scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat especially by mid to late afternoon. Rainfall, given a 50%chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.25 inch. High 85. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat as a cold front passes by midnight. Severe thunderstorms are possible with a threat of strong wind and hail. Turning cooler. Rainfall, given a 60%chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.25 to 0.50 inch. Low 54. South southeasterly wind 8 to 18 mph becoming more north northwesterly by midnight.
SATURDAY…. A few clouds early in the morning otherwise mostly sunny and less humid. High 71. North northwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT….Clear and cooler. Low 50. Light northerly wind becoming calm.
SUNDAY….Sunshine. High 78. Light wind becoming south southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 59. Light southeasterly wind.
MONDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 80. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 65. Light southeasterly wind.
TUESDAY /ELECTION DAY/…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 82. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 09 November through Tuesday / 15 November 2022
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (02Nov)………………………………………… 7:46 am
Sunset this evening (02Nov)………………………………………….. 6:42 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (03Nov)…………………………………………….. 7:47 am
Sunset tomorrow (03Nov)……………………………………………… 6:42 pm