Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Tuesday / 01 November 2022
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
… No Hazards Expected …
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) An upper low pressure storm system has crossed over south Texas overnight with scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly to our south. In the wake of the system, we will find ourselves in a rather benign fall weather pattern beginning today and continuing into Thursday with afternoon high temperatures warming back to above seasonal averages.
(2) Our next weather system will be a strong upper level low pressure disturbance and an associated surface cold front is forecast to approach and then move across Texas beginning Friday and continue Friday night into the early morning hours Saturday. Clouds and rain and thunderstorm chances show up beginning on Friday then peaking Friday night and ending during the early morning hours Saturday. Some stronger thunderstorms with strong winds are possible.
(3) In the wake of the cold front late Friday night into Saturday morning, a cooler, drier and more stable air mass will take over with abundant sunshine and less humid conditions Saturday through Sunday into Monday.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance suggests, on average, 1.00 to 1.50 inch rainfall over the next seven day forecast period.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast through Thursday night before falling back to a medium to high confidence forecast for Friday through the weekend.
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Tuesday / 01 November 2022
TODAY…. Becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. High 76. Calm wind becoming west northwest 4 to 8 mph in the morning and then southeasterly in the afternoon.
TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 58. Light southeasterly wind becoming calm.
WEDNESDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 78. Calm wind becoming south southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 64. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
THURSDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 83. South southeasterly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early then becoming mostly cloudy. Low 68. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.
FRIDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly to mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat by afternoon. Rainfall, given a 40%chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.25 inch or less. High 82. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Severe thunderstorms are possible with a threat of strong wind and hail. Rainfall, given a 60%chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.50 to 1.00 inch. Low 60. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph becoming more southwesterly after midnight.
SATURDAY…. Mostly cloudy and cooler with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat as a cold front passes by daybreak. Rainfall, given a 50%chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.25 inch. Decreasing clouds late morning into midday becoming partly cloudy. High 71. Southwesterly wind shifting west northwesterly 8 to 15 mph and gusty.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear and cooler. Low 52. North northwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph decrease a little after midnight.
SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 78. North northwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 56. Light northerly wind.
MONDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 79. Northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 08 November through Monday / 14 November 2022
Temperatures… Near to Slightly Below Average
Precipitation… Near to Slightly Below Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (01Nov)………………………………………… 7:45 am
Sunset this evening (01Nov)………………………………………….. 6:43 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (02 Nov)…………………………………………….. 7:46 am
Sunset tomorrow (02 Nov)……………………………………………… 6:42 pm