Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Southerly Surface Winds Return.. Our Next Cold Front Next Monday (We/02Mar2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Wednesday / 02 March 2022
       

  
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

…. No Weather Hazards Expected ….

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) A dry and stable weather pattern prevails with surface high pressure having now shifted east of the area with a south southeasterly surface wind now in place

(2) By the end of the week, with much warmer temperatures and a return to a southerly surface wind flow, enough low level moisture will return for increased cloud cover and a slightly more unstable air mass by Friday through the weekend.

(3) With atmospheric pressure lowering over the south central states and a slightly more unstable atmosphere, we’ll also see some isolated to widely scattered patches of rain and rain showers mainly in areas east of the IH35 corridor by Saturday into Sunday with a slightly better chance locally by Sunday night into early Monday as a weak cold front presses southeastward into the area.

(4) In the wake of Monday morning cold front, we’ll see lingering clouds and precipitation and a return to much cooler temperatures into the first half of next week.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting 0.10 inch or less of  precipitation over the next seven days.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.  

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Wednesday / 02 March 2022

TODAY…. Mostly sunny. High 75. Light wind becoming south southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT…. A few clouds. Low 48. Light southeasterly wind.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 77. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 55. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY…. Morning low clouds becoming partly to mostly cloudy. High 79. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Low 61. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY…. Morning low clouds becoming partly to mostly cloudy. High 82. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Low 63. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SUNDAY…. Morning low clouds becoming partly to mostly cloudy and unseasonably warm. A few rain showers mainly east of the IH35 corridor. Rainfall, given a less than 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05 inch. High 84. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms developing after midnight. Rainfall, given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.20 inch. Low 62. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

MONDAY…. Mostly cloudy and cooler as a cold front passes in the early morning hours. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. Rainfall, given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.20 inch. High 68. Southwesterly wind shifting northerly 8 to 15 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles. Rainfall, given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. Low 44. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles. Rainfall, given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. High 59. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Wednesday / 09 March 2022 through Tuesday / 15 March 2022
Temperatures… Slightly Below Average
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (02 March)……………………………………….. 6:56 am
Sunset this evening (02 March)…………………………………………. 6:31 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (03 March)……………………………………………. 6:55 am
Sunset tomorrow (03 March)…………………………………………….. 6:31 pm