Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Thursday / 03 March 2022
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
…. No Weather Hazards Expected ….
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) A dry and stable weather pattern prevails with surface high pressure having now shifted east of the area with a south southeasterly surface wind now in place.
(2) As we continue through the balance of the week, expect warmer temperatures with the southerly surface wind flow. Enough low level moisture will return for increased cloud cover, especially the late night and early morning variety, with a slightly more unstable air mass expected by tomorrow through the weekend.
(3) With atmospheric pressure lowering over the south central states and a slightly more unstable atmosphere, we’ll see some isolated to widely scattered patches of rain and rain showers mainly in areas east of the IH35 corridor by Sunday morning with a better chance by Sunday night into early Monday as atmospheric lift increases ahead of a cold front that will move through the area by daybreak Monday.
(4) In the wake of Monday morning cold front, we’ll see lingering clouds and precipitation and a return to cooler temperatures into the first half of next week.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting 0.10 inch or less of precipitation over the next seven days.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Thursday / 03 March 2022
TODAY…. Partly cloudy. High 78. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with low clouds developing after midnight. Low 57. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
FRIDAY…. Morning low clouds and patchy fog becoming partly to mostly cloudy. High 79. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with higher afternoon gusts.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Becoming mostly cloudy. Low 60. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.
SATURDAY…. Morning low clouds becoming partly to mostly cloudy. High 80. Southerly wind 8 to 18 mph with higher gusts.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Low 64. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.
SUNDAY…. Morning low clouds becoming partly to mostly cloudy. A few light sprinkles and rain showers mainly before noon. Rainfall, given a less than 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. High 82. Southerly wind 8 to 18 mph with some higher gusts.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat developing after midnight. Rainfall, given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.20 inch. Low 60. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts becoming more west and southwesterly after midnight.
MONDAY…. Mostly cloudy and cooler as a cold front passes around sunrise. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat mainly before 10am. Rainfall, given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.10 inch. Decreasing clouds in the afternoon. High 65. Southwesterly wind shifting northerly 10 to 20 mph with some higher gusts.
MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles. Rainfall, given a less than 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. Low 42. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.
TUESDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles. Rainfall, given a less than 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. High 60. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles. Rainfall, given a less than 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. Low 43. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
WEDNESDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles. Rainfall, given a less than 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. High 64. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 10 March 2022 through Wednesday / 16 March 2022
Temperatures… Slightly Below Average
Precipitation… Below Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (03 March)……………………………………….. 6:55 am
Sunset this evening (03 March)…………………………………………. 6:31 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (04 March)……………………………………………. 6:53 am
Sunset tomorrow (04 March)…………………………………………….. 6:32 pm