Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Thursday / 16 December 2021
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
… No Weather Threats Expected Today or Tonight …
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) Southerly surface winds will continue with surface high pressure to our east. This will continue to result in abundant low level moisture with continued cloud cover along with warmer temperatures through tomorrow. As we’ve seen over the last 24 hours, even a few sprinkles are possible.
(2) A weakening cold front is stalling today over north Texas well to the north of our Austin / IH35 corridor area.
(3) A stronger cold front will surge southward through the area after midnight Friday night with an increased rain and thunderstorm chances. As the front moves off the Texas coast by Saturday midday, an upper level low pressure area is forecast to linger to our west resulting an a chilly and wet overrunning weather pattern through Saturday with rain chances decreasing Saturday night and Sunday. Temperatures will fall to well below average for both Saturday and Sunday.
(4) As a more stable weather pattern takes hold, I expect clouds to break with more sunshine in store for late Monday into Tuesday. Temperatures will warm a bit but still continue to be at or slightly below average.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting 1.00″ rainfall for our IH35 corridor over the next seven days.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High Confidence
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Thursday / 16 December 2021
TODAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Continued unseasonably warm. A few sprinkles. Given a 10% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. High 82. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
TONIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. A few sprinkles. Given a 10% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. Low 69. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
FRIDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy and unseasonably warm. A few sprinkles. Given a 10% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. High 82. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph with higher gusts.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers developing after 11pm. Numerous rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning threat, after 1am as a cold front passes. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location after 11pm and then increasing to 70%after 1am, rainfall will average 0.25 to 0.50 inch. Turning cooler. Low 55. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph shifting north northeasterly 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts after 1am.
SATURDAY…. Cloudy, breezy and much cooler with scattered to numerous rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat mainly before 10am. Given a 60% chance of rain before 10am then decreasing to 40% by afternoon, where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25 inch. High 60. Northerly wind 8 to 18 mph with some higher gusts.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 41. Northerly wind 8 to 18 mph.
SUNDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy and unseasonably cool with scattered rain showers mainly in the afternoon. Given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average less than 0.10 inch. High 54. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with numerous patches of light rain and scattered rain showers. Given a 60%chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.25 inch. Low 40. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
MONDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain and rain showers before 9am. Becoming partly cloudy by afternoon. High 56. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 40. Light northeasterly wind.
TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 63. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 42. Light northeasterly wind.
WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 68. Light easterly wind.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 23 December 2021 through Wednesday / 29 December 2021…
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (16 December)……………………………………. 7:21 am
Sunset this evening (16 December)……………………………………… 5:33 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (17 December)………………………………………… 7:21 am
Sunset tomorrow (17 December)…………………………………………. 5:33 pm