…. Taking Time Off for the Holidays ….
I’ll be taking some time off over the next two weeks and will not be updating the website.
During this time, please use this link to see the latest text forecast for Austin and the IH35 corridor from our friends at the NWS/Austin-San Antonio.
Happy holidays all!
Troy
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Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Friday / 17 December 2021
Not Available Today…
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
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@troykimmelwx
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
… No Weather Threats Expected Today or Tonight …
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) Southerly surface winds will continue with surface high pressure to our east. A weakening cold front has stalled over north Texas well to the north of our Austin / IH35 corridor area. This will continue to result in abundant low level moisture with continued cloud cover along with warmer temperatures into tonight. As we’ve seen over the last 24 hours, even a few sprinkles are possible.
(2) The stronger cold front, that will surge southward through the area by early tomorrow morning, has slowed down a little in its timing. I expect scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorm as it approaches and passes through the area. As the front moves off the Texas coast by Saturday midday, an upper level low pressure area is forecast to continue to linger out to our west resulting an a chilly and wet overrunning weather pattern with rain continuing through much of the day tomorrow. Rain chances will decrease a bit tomorrow night into early Sunday before peaking again Sunday night into early Monday as another upper level disturbance passes. Temperatures, in the wake of the front, will fall to well below average for both Saturday and Sunday as well as into early next week.
(4) As a more stable weather pattern takes hold, I expect clouds to break with more sunshine in store for later Monday into mid into late parts of next week. Temperatures will warm a bit as we get back into abundant sunshine.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting 1.00″ rainfall for our IH35 corridor over the next seven days.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to Very High Confidence
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Friday / 17 December 2021
TODAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy and unseasonably warm. A few sprinkles. Given a 10% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. High 82. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph.
TONIGHT…. Cloudy with widely scattered rain showers developing after midnight. Numerous rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning threat, after 3am as a cold front approaches and passes. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location after midnight and then increasing to 70%after 5am, rainfall will average 0.25 inch. Turning cooler after 5am. Low 60. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph shifting northerly 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts after 5am.
SATURDAY…. Cloudy, breezy and much cooler with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat mainly before 1pm. Given a 80% chance of rain before 1pm then decreasing to 40% by late afternoon, where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.50 to 0.75 inch. High 60 in the early morning hours then falling into the 50s. Northerly wind 8 to 18 mph with higher gusts.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with a few rain showers before 8pm. Given a 30%chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average less than 0.10 inch. Low 41. Northerly wind 8 to 18 mph with higher gusts.
SUNDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy and unseasonably cool with scattered rain showers mainly in the afternoon. Given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average less than 0.10 inch. High 53. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered patches of light rain and scattered rain showers. Given a 50%chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 40. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light late.
MONDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain and rain showers before 10am. Becoming partly cloudy by afternoon. High 57. Light northeasterly wind.
MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 39. Light easterly wind.
TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 63. Calm wind becoming easterly 4 to 8 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 41. Light wind.
WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 69. Light southeasterly wind.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 47. Light wind.
THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 73. Light wind becoming south southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 24 December 2021 through Thursday / 30 December 2021…
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (17 December)……………………………………. 7:21 am
Sunset this evening (17 December)……………………………………… 5:33 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (18 December)………………………………………… 7:22 am
Sunset tomorrow (18 December)…………………………………………. 5:34 pm