Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Wednesday / 15 December 2021
        
Not Available Today…
   
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Threats Expected Today or Tonight …

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) Southerly surface winds will continue as surface high pressure settles over the southeastern states. This will continue to result in abundant low level moisture with continued cloud cover along with warmer temperatures over the coming days. As we’ve seen this morning, even a few sprinkles are possible.

(2) A weakening cold front will approach the area by tomorrow but guidance suggests that the system will stall over north Texas long before it gets into the Austin / IH35 corridor area.

(3) A stronger cold front will surge southward through the area in the predawn hours Saturday with an increased rain and thunderstorm chances. As the front moves off the Texas coast by Saturday, an upper level low pressure area is forecast to linger to our west resulting an a chilly and wet overrunning weather pattern for Saturday into Saturday night and Sunday. Temperatures will fall to below average for both Saturday and Sunday.

(4) As a more stable weather pattern takes hold, I expect clouds to break with more sunshine in store for Monday into Tuesday. Temperatures will warm a few degrees but still continue to be at or slightly below average.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting 0.50 to 1.00″ rainfall for our IH35 corridor over the next seven days.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High Confidence

—-

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Wednesday / 15 December 2021

TODAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy and unseasonably warm. A few sprinkles. Given a 10% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. High 80. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with higher gusts.

TONIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. A few sprinkles. Given a 10% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. Low 68. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.

THURSDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Continued unseasonably warm. A few sprinkles. Given a 10% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. High 81. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. A few sprinkles. Given a 10% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. Low 69. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.

FRIDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy and unseasonably warm. A few sprinkles. Given a 10% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. High 82. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph with higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers developing after 11pm. Numerous rain showers and thunderstorms, with an associated lightning threat, after 1am as a cold front passes. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location after 11pm and then increasing to 70%after 1am, rainfall will average 0.25 to 0.50 inch. Turning cooler. Low 55. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph shifting north northeasterly 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts after 1am.

SATURDAY…. Cloudy, breezy and much cooler with scattered to numerous rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat mainly before 10am. Given a 60% chance of rain before 10am then decreasing to 40% by afternoon, where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25 inch. High 59. Northerly wind 8 to 18 mph with some higher gusts.  

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with widely scattered rain showers. Given a 20% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average less than .05 inch. Low 41. Northerly wind 8 to 18 mph.  

SUNDAY…. Mostly cloudy and unseasonably cool with scattered rain showers. Given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average less than 0.10 inch. High 54. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with widely scattered patches of light rain before midnight. Decreasing clouds after midnight. Given a 20%chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average trace amounts. Low 40. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.  

MONDAY…. Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming mostly sunny. High 63. East northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 42. Light northeasterly wind.

TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 63. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Wednesday / 22 December 2021 through Tuesday / 28 December 2021…
Temperatures… Above Average  
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (15 December)……………………………………. 7:20 am
Sunset this evening (15 December)……………………………………… 5:32 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (16 December)………………………………………… 7:21 am
Sunset tomorrow (16 December)…………………………………………. 5:33 pm