Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Rain Chances Decrease with A Little More Sun in Our Forecast (Tu/26Apr2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Tuesday / 26 April 2022

 

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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

…. No Weather Hazards Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) An upper level low pressure disturbance is moving eastward out of Texas with widely scattered and scattered rain showers and thunderstorms will continue back in the cooler air overhead through midday today.

(2) As the upper air system departs off to the east, we’ll see decreasing later today into tonight as drier and more stable air moves into the area.

(3) As the cooler high pressure moves east of the area by tomorrow, a return south southeasterly surface wind will result in warming temperatures and increased humidity for the latter part of the week into the upcoming weekend.

(4) As a series of weakening cold fronts will move into Texas by Saturday into Sunday, we’ll see an increasingly moist and unstable air mass. As a result of this, I am mentioning widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms by Saturday night and Sunday into early next week.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting rainfall of less than 0.25 inch over our area for the next seven day period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Tuesday / 26 April 2022

TODAY…. Mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles through midday then partial clearing in the afternoon. Unseasonably cool. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average 0.05 inch or less. High 71. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 58. Light east northeasterly wind.

WEDNESDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 80. Light wind becoming southerly 5 to 12 mph by afternoon.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 63. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 84. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 68. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 87. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 69. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 90. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early.. low clouds late. Widely scattered rain showers after midnight. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average 0.05 inch or less. Low 69. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SUNDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average less than 0.25 inch. High 89. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early.. low clouds late. Widely scattered rain showers after midnight. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average 0.05 inch or less. Low 70. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

MONDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average less than 0.25 inch. High 89. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 03 May 2022 through Monday / 09 May 2022
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (26 April)………………………………………….. 6:52 am
Sunset this evening (26 April)……………………………………………. 8:06 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (27 April)………………………………………………. 6:51 am
Sunset tomorrow (27 April)……………………………………………….. 8:06 pm