Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 25 April 2022
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
…. Lightning Threat with Thunderstorms Today into Tonight …
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) An upper level low pressure disturbance is moving out of west Texas as a surface cold front pushes southeastward through Texas. While the front moved across the IH35 corridor earlier this morning, the upper air disturbance will lag behind the front and be slow to depart the area. As a result, numerous rain showers and thunderstorms will continue back in the cooler air overhead through tonight.
(2) As the upper air system departs off to the east, we’ll see decreasing later tonight into tomorrow as drier and more stable air moves into the area.
(3) As the cooler high pressure moves east of the area by the middle and latter part of the week, a return south southeasterly surface wind will result in warming temperatures and increased humidity for the latter part of the week into the upcoming weekend.
(4) As a series of weakening cold fronts will move into Texas by Saturday into Sunday, we’ll see an increasingly moist and unstable air mass. As a result of this, I am mentioning widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms by Saturday night and Sunday.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance has increased the amounts expected; around 1.00 inch of rain is now expected over our area over the next seven day period.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Monday / 25 April 2022
TODAY…. Cloudy and unseasonably cool with rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 90% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average 0.75 to 1.25 inch. Highs remaining in the 60s. Northerly winds 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
TONIGHT…. Cloudy with numerous rain showers mainly before 11pm. Given a 70% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average 0.25 inch. Decreasing clouds after midnight. Low 57. North northeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
TUESDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy in the morning then partly cloudy in the afternoon. Unseasonably cool. High 71. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 56. Light northeasterly wind.
WEDNESDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 77. Light wind becoming southeasterly 5 to 12 mph by afternoon.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 63. Light southeasterly wind.
THURSDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 84. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 68. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.
FRIDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 87. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 68. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.
SATURDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 90. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early.. low clouds late. Widely scattered rain showers after midnight. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average 0.05 inch or less. Low 69. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.
SUNDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average less than 0.25 inch. High 90. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 02 May 2022 through Sunday / 08 May 2022
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Near Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (25 April)………………………………………….. 6:53 am
Sunset this evening (25 April)……………………………………………. 8:05 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (26 April)………………………………………………. 6:52 am
Sunset tomorrow (26 April)……………………………………………….. 8:06 pm