Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Wednesday / 04 May 2022

 

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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

…. No Weather Hazards Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) A weak cold front moved down into the area late yesterday but is returning back northward as a warm front. Rain chances look slim as this system departs to the north today.

(2) Another cold front will move southward into Texas and perhaps into our local area by tomorrow with a renewed chance of rain and thunderstorms as early as later tonight into tomorrow and then continuing into tomorrow night.

(3) A drier and more stable weather pattern will develop, with abundant sunshine, for Friday into the weekend and into the first half of next week with afternoon high temperatures warming to well above seasonal averages. Heat indices to near 105 degrees are likely for the time period.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting rainfall of 0.25 to 0.50 inch over our area for the next seven day period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Wednesday / 04 May 2022

TODAY…. Morning low clouds with a few sprinkles otherwise partly to mostly cloudy. Given a 10% chance of morning rain at any given location, rainfall will average trace amounts. High 91. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy early.. low clouds late. Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat after 10pm. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average 0.10 inch. Low 72. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

THURSDAY…. Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and thunderstorms becoming more numerous with an associated lightning threat as a weak cold front moves into the area by late in the afternoon. Given a 50% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average 0.25 inch. High 87. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph shifting light and variable.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat mainly before 8pm. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average 0.10 inch. Low 67. Light and variable wind.

FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 93. Light wind becoming southerly 5 to 10 mph by afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 70. Light southerly wind.

SATURDAY…. Mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 97. South southwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 72. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 100 with heat indices near 105. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 73. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY…. Mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 100 with heat indices near 105. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. A few clouds. Low 74. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 97. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 11 May 2022 through Tuesday/ 17 May 2022
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (04 May)………………………………………….. 6:45 am
Sunset this evening (04 May)……………………………………………. 8:11 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (05 May)………………………………………………. 6:44 am
Sunset tomorrow (05 May)……………………………………………….. 8:12 pm