** Unsettled Weather Ahead ** (We/11Mar2020)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Wednesday / 11 March 2020 ….

      
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

.. No Weather Threats Today..

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES…

(1) After low clouds and fog this morning, clouds will decrease a bit with well above average temperatures into tomorrow.

(2) Another series of upper level low pressure disturbances will move across the area beginning late Thursday into Friday through the weekend as a surface cold front approaches the area from the north late Thursday into Friday and then another cold front approaches Saturday. Guidance now suggests that these fronts will not move through the area but instead leave us in a rather  moist unsettled weather pattern with on again/off again rain chances through the weekend and into next week. NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall forecast guidance has reduced the overall rainfall amounts expected locally over the next seven days to generally between .25″ to .50″.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Wednesday / 11 March 2020

TODAY…. Patchy morning fog. Mostly cloudy early then becoming partly cloudy and warmer. High 84. Light wind becoming southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TONIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 64. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light late.

THURSDAY…. Mostly cloudy early then becoming partly to mostly cloudy. High 83. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a few rain showers developing after midnight. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than .05″. Low 64. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light late.

FRIDAY…. Mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than .05″. High 80. Light wind becoming south southeasterly 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average .25″ or less. Low 63. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30%chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average .25″ or less. High 78. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with widely scattered rain showers thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average .25″ or less. Low 64. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average .25″ or less. High 79. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average .25″ or less. Low 67. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average .25″ or less. High 80. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average .25″ or less. Low 68. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average .25″ or less. High 81. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK          
Valid Wednesday / 18 March 2020 through Tuesday / 24 March 2020…
Temperatures… Near to Slightly Above Average   
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (11 March)………………………………….. 7:45 am
Sunset this evening (11 March)……………………………………. 7:37 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (12 March)………………………………………. 7:44 am
Sunset tomorrow (12 March)……………………………………….. 7:37 pm

** Clouds Break by Mid Week – Wet Late Week into Weekend ** (Tu/10Mar2020)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Tuesday / 10 March 2020 ….

      
Contact me:
[email protected]
[email protected]

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

.. No Weather Threats Today..

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES…

(1) After low clouds and fog this morning, clouds will linger today. Clouds will decrease a bit with warmer temperatures tomorrow into Thursday.

(2) Another series of upper level low pressure disturbances will move across the area beginning late Thursday into Friday through the weekend as a surface cold front approaches the area from the north late Thursday into Friday and then a final cold front moves across our local area by Saturday morning. Rain showers and thunderstorms are possible in the pre-frontal environment beginning late Thursday into Friday and into Saturday morning.

(3) Computer and manual guidance strongly suggests that an overrunning pattern, resulting in clouds, post frontal precipitation will continue in the wake of the front through the balance of the weekend and even into early next week as the surface winds return back southerly again.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Tuesday / 10 March 2020

TODAY…. Patchy dense fog with a mostly cloudy sky otherwise. High 75. Light wind becoming south southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Low 64. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Patchy morning fog. Mostly cloudy early then becoming partly cloudy and warmer. High 84. Light wind becoming southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 64. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light late.

THURSDAY…. Mostly cloudy early then becoming partly to mostly cloudy. A few late afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it’ll average less than .25″. High 83. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average .10″ or less. Low 64. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average .10″ or less. High 76. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 40% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average .25″. Low 63. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk as a cold front passes in the morning. Not quite as warm. A 50%chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average .25″. High 70. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph early shifting northerly 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 50% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average .25. Low 59. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 50% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average .25″ or less. High 70. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming more easterly in the afternoon.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 50% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average .25″ or less. Low 62. Light easterly wind becoming southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 50% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average .25″. High 70. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming more easterly in the afternoon.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK          
Valid Tuesday / 17 March 2020 through Monday / 23 March 2020…
Temperatures… Above Average   
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (10 March)………………………………….. 7:46 am
Sunset this evening (10 March)……………………………………. 7:36 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (11 March)………………………………………. 7:45 am
Sunset tomorrow (11 March)……………………………………….. 7:37 pm