TK’s Austin & South Central Texas Forecast for Thu/7Jun2012

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Updated 130pm CDT.. Thursday / 7 June 2012

TODAY…. Mostly cloudy with a 50% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. High 86 to 90. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming more east northeasterly by late afternoon. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/4 to 1/2 inch.

TONIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a 50% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Low 68 to 72. East northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/4 to 1/2 inch.

FRIDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with a 40% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. High 87 to 91. East northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/4 inch.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with a 20% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Low 69 to 73. East northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/4 inch or less.

SATURDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 89 to 93.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 70 to 74.

SUNDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 90 to 94.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early.. low clouds late. Low 71 to 75.

MONDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 91 to 95.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early.. low clouds late. Low 71 to 75.

TUESDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 92 to 96.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early.. low clouds late. Low 72 to 76.

WEDNESDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 93 to 97.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thu / 14 June 2012 through Wed / 20 June 2012…
Temperature… Slightly Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (7 June)……………….. 6:29 am
Sunset this evening (7 June)…………………. 8:31 pm
Sunrise Friday (8 June)………………………… 6:29 am
Sunset Friday (8 June)…………………………. 8:32 pm

….AUSTIN AREA POLLEN COUNT….
…RECORDED TUESDAY / 5 JUNE 2012…
(Note: This is the most recent report that has been provided.
This count is updated as provided on weekdays only and is
courtesy of Austin Allergy Associates and Dr. T. Ray Vaughn
and Dr. P. Dennis Dyer)

Molds….. 3480 gr/cubic meter (High) – Down Since Last Reading
Grasses….. 0 gr/cubic meter (Low) – Down Since Last Reading
Weeds…… 0 gr/cubic meter (Low) – Down Since Last Reading
…Breakdown of Weeds:
…None Reported …
Trees…… 0 gr/cubic meter (Low) – Down Since Last Reading
…Breakdown of Trees:
…None Reported…

TK’s Forecast Discussion for Thu/7Jun2012

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Updated 130pm CDT Thursday / 7 June 2012

…. Upper Air Low Pressure Disturbance Has a More Substantial Effect on Area ….
…. Clouds and Rain Chances Continue over the Next 24 Hours or So ….
…. A Drier and More Stable Weather Pattern for the Weekend into Next Week ….

On this Thursday… a weakening stationary front extends westward from northern Florida to southeastern Louisiana and overhead of south central Texas. Surface high is over the Ohio Valley region. As a result of this pressure pattern, a southeasterly surface wind south of the stationary front and a east northeasterly wind north of the stationary front is occurring across our area.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere, a trough.. or line.. of upper air low pressure is located over the eastern seaboard of the USA with another one over the northwestern USA and the intermountain region. A small upper air low pressure disturbance is located over central Texas.  As a result of the upper air wind flow, the upper level winds are variable over our area.

Again today, more changes as the small upper level low pressure area moves southeastward and ends up being closer to our area than I thought it would be yesterday. As a result, I’ll include scattered rain showers and thunderstorms in the forecast over about the next 24 hour period with upwards of 1/2 to 1 inch of rain expected in some areas.

By late tomorrow through the weekend, guidance continues to suggest a drier and more stable weather pattern as upper high pressure generally dominates and acts like a “lid” on the atmosphere. I will continue to trend toward this drier solution for the weekend into next week with no mention of precipitation in the forecast and afternoon high temperatures trending toward above average.

For Austin and south central Texas… tonight will be mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with lows around 70. Southeasterly wind becoming more east northeasterly. For tomorrow, mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with highs in the upper 80s to near 90. East northeasterly wind.

Have a good Thursday night and Friday…
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

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