TK’s Austin and South Central Texas Forecast….

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Updated 845am CST.. Friday / 15 November 2013

TODAY…. Some patchy morning fog.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 73 to 77. Southeasterly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy in the evening turning mostly cloudy late with some patchy fog after midnight.  Low 59 to 63. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY…. Patchy morning fog.. otherwise partly to mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles possible. High 76 to 80. Southerly wind 10 to 20 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy in the evening turning mostly cloudy late. Low 61 to 65. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SUNDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy and unseasonably warm. High 81 to 85. Southerly wind 10 to 20 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a less than 20% chance of rain showers as a cold front passes after midnight.. rainfall, where it occurs, will average 1/4 inch. Low 57 to 61. Southerly wind shifting north northwesterly 12 to 22 mph.

MONDAY…. Partly cloudy.. windy and cooler. High 65 to 69. North northwesterly wind 15 to 25 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. A clear sky. Low 41 to 45. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TUESDAY…. Sunshine. High 62 to 66. Northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. A clear sky. Low 38 to 42. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Sunshine. High 64 to 68. East southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. A clear sky. Low 41 to 45. Southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 66 to 70. South southeasterly winds 8 to 15 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 22 November 2013  through Thursday / 28 November 2013…
Temperature… Near Average
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (15 November)………………………………. 6:57 am
Sunset this evening (15 November)……………………………….. 5:34 pm
Sunrise Saturday (16 November)…………………………………… 6:58 am
Sunset Saturday (16 November)……………………………………. 5:34 pm

TK’s Weather Discussion….

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Updated 845am CST Friday / 15 November 2013

…. A Big Warm Up In Store With More Clouds ….
…. Another Cold Front Late Sunday Night into the Predawn Hours Monday ….
…. Forecast Rain Chances over the Next Seven Days Look Slim ….

On this Friday morning…. a large area of surface high pressure extends westward from the Atlantic Ocean into the Carolinas and the southeastern USA. A developing low pressure area is over eastern Colorado. As a result of this surface weather pattern, surface winds are south southeasterly over our area.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere… a broad trough.. or line.. of upper air low pressure extends south southwestward from Canada over the central and western USA. As a result of the overall upper level wind flow, the upper level winds over south central Texas and the Austin metro area about 18,000 feet above the ground have increased and are west northwesterly 50 to 60 mph.

As the surface high to our east continues to move eastward and as another low pressure area deepens to our west, we’re seeing a fairly rapid return to warmer temperatures and clouds with some patchy fog in some areas this morning. Very slim rain chances show up by tomorrow as weak upper air low pressure disturbances move west-to-east overhead through the return moisture over the area.

Temperatures will be the big weather news over the coming days with temperatures warming to well above average and, in fact, may approach record levels on Sunday.

Another cold front will move through the area late Sunday night into early Monday morning with a very slim chance of rain. Cooler temperatures and clearing skies will follow for Monday through the middle part of next week.

Regarding my forecast, my local forecast confidence: High to very high forecast confidence through the weekend with a moderate to high confidence forecast for the latter part of the weekend into early Monday (some questions regarding cloud coverage and rain chances and the exact timing and strength of the Sunday/Monday cold front) and then very high confidence for next Monday through Wednesday.

Have a good Friday…
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

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