TK’s Austin and South Central Texas Forecast….

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Updated 845am CT.. Wednesday / 16 April 2014

TODAY…. Sunshine. High 71. Southeasterly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear through midnight.. then low clouds after midnight. Low 54. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with isolated rain showers. Where occurring, given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average trace amounts.      High 74. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with isolated rain showers and thunderstorms. Where occurring, given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average 1/4 inch or less. Low 56. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY….  Partly to mostly cloudy with isolated rain showers and thunderstorms. Where occurring, given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average 1/4 inch or less. High 78. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 58. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with isolated rain showers and thunderstorms. Where occurring, given a less than 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average 1/4 inch or less. High 78. Southerly wind 8 to 18 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. Where occurring, given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average 1/4 inch. Low 59. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph..

SUNDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. Where occurring, given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average 1/4 inch or less. High 81. Southerly wind 8 to 18 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. Where occurring, given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average 1/4 inch or less. Low 63. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

MONDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 84. Southerly wind 8 to 18 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early.. low clouds late. Low 65. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TUESDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy. High 85. Southerly wind 8 to 18 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 23 April 2014 through Tuesday / 29 April 2014…
Temperature… Near to Slightly Above Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (16 April)………………………………….. 7:02 am
Sunset this evening (16 April)…………………………………… 7:59 pm
Sunrise Thursday (17 April)……………………………………… 7:01 am
Sunset Thursday (17 April)………………………………………. 8:00 pm

TK’s Weather Discussion….

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Updated 845am CT – Wednesday / 16 April 2014

…. Humidity on the Increase ….
…. A Warming Trend with Clouds Increasing Again Late Week into the Weekend ….

On this Wednesday morning…. surface high pressure /1029mb/ is off to the east and is centered over the Ohio Valley region. Low pressure /1000mb/ is deepening to our north over Nebraska and Colorado. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our local surface winds are south southeasterly.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere… a broad trough.. or line.. of upper level low pressure covers the USA. As a result of this upper air wind pattern, the upper level winds over south central Texas and the Austin metro area about 18,000 feet above the ground are westerly at 25 to 35 mph.

With the surface high pressure now east of our area.. southerly surface winds have returned. This will continue through the remainder of the week into the weekend as another weak cold front settles into the area Friday into Friday night. I expect that we’ll see increased cloud cover.. increased humidity and even some rain chances tomorrow into early Friday and again Saturday into Sunday.

We’ll see a return to more sunshine.. with a partly cloudy sky and warmer temperatures.. for the first half of next week.

Regarding my forecast, my local forecast confidence: My forecast confidence is very high today through tonight. My forecast confidence is medium to high for late week into the weekend (reference the increase in clouds and any rain chances). My forecast confidence rises back to high to very high for the first half of next week.

Have a good Wednesday…
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

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