TK’s Austin and South Central Texas Weather Forecast….

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Updated 845am CT.. Thursday / 22 January 2015

TODAY…. Cloudy and unseasonably cool with light rain and rain showers. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 100% chance of rain at any given location, will average an additional 1/2 to 1 inch. High 49. Northeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TONIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered patches of light rain and rain showers. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 60% chance of rain at any given location, will average 1/4 to 1/2 inch. Low 37. North northeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY…. Cloudy with scattered patches of light rain and rain showers. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, will average 1/4 inch. High 50. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Decreasing clouds becoming mostly clear. Low 36. Light westerly wind.

SATURDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 61. Westerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 41. Light westerly wind.

SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 65. Westerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT….Mostly clear. Low 43. Wind becoming light southerly.

MONDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 67. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 45. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 68. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 47. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 69. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 29 January 2015 through Wednesday / 04 February 2015…
Temperature… Below Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (22 January)…………………………………………… 7:27 am
Sunset this evening (22 January)……………………………………………. 5:59 pm
Sunrise Friday (23 January)…………………………………………………… 7:26 am
Sunset Friday (23 January)……………………………………………………. 6:00 pm

TK’s Weather Discussion….

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Updated 915am CT – Thursday / 22 January 2015

…. Clouds and Rain Continue ….
…. Sunshine Returns By Late Friday into Next Weekend ….

On this Thursday morning…. a stationary front is situated from the northwestern Gulf of Mexico northwestward into a surface low in the Texas coastal plains around Corpus Christi then southwestward as a cold front into northeastern Mexico. As a result of this surface weather pattern, our local surface winds are gusty northerly.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere.. a strong southeastward moving upper air low pressure disturbance is over western New Mexico. As a result, our upper air winds at about 18,500 feet are southwesterly at 45 to 55 mph.

As the emerging upper air low pressure disturbance.. out west.. moves eastward into the state, an overrunning pattern continues locally with clouds and rain forecast to continue through tonight and through the early part of the day on Friday. So far.. upwards of 2 inches of rain has already fallen across the area with another 1/2 to inch of rainfall possible between now and late Friday.

With the upper air disturbance moving east of the area by tomorrow night, we’ll see a fairly rapid clearing of the sky late Friday night with plenty of sunshine and warmer temperatures due for the coming weekend.

Regarding my forecast, my local forecast confidence: My forecast confidence is high through tomorrow.. with my forecast confidence rising back to very high for the coming weekend.

Have a good Thursday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

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