Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 10 January 2022
       

  
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Threats Expected Today or Tonight …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) In the wake of an upper air low pressure disturbance late Saturday, another surface cold front passed through the area yesterday morning with temperatures cooling a bit into the first part of our new week.

(2) A passing upper air low pressure disturbance will increase cloud cover at bit by tomorrow afternoon into tomorrow night but, at this time, I am not confident enough to include any rain chances in my forecast.

(3) A more unsettled weather pattern is expected to develop as low pressure develops over west Texas with a corresponding return south southeasterly surface wind by Wednesday and continuing through Friday with clouds and humidity increasing a bit for the latter part of the week with temperatures warming to above seasonal averages.

(4) Another cold front will move quickly through the area late Friday night with increased clouds but, at this point, I am not confident enough in the guidance to include any rain in my forecast.

(5) Skies will partially clear with temperatures falling back to below seasonal averages for our weekend.   

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting no rainfall for our area over the next seven days.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to Very High Confidence

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Monday / 10 January 2022

TODAY…. Partly cloudy. High 58. North northeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 33. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light after midnight.

TUESDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 59. Light wind becoming more east southeasterly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 45. Light east southeasterly wind.

WEDNESDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 65. Light wind becoming southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 47. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light.

THURSDAY…. Partly cloudy and warmer. High 72. Light southerly wind increasing to 5 to 12 mph.  

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 49. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY…. Brief morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy and unseasonably warm. High 74. South southwesterly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy as a cold front passes by midnight. Low 43. Southwesterly wind shifting northerly 8 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY…. Partly cloudy, breezy and cooler. High 57. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 34. Northerly wind decreasing and becoming northeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 56. Northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Monday / 17 January 2022 through Sunday / 23 January 2022
Temperatures… Near Average
Precipitation… Near to Slightly Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (10 January)……………………………………. 7:29 am
Sunset this evening (10 January)……………………………………… 5:49 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (11 January)………………………………………… 7:29 am
Sunset tomorrow (11 January)…………………………………………. 5:50 pm

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Friday / 07 January 2022
       
Not Available Today…
   
Contact me:
[email protected]
[email protected]

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Threats Expected Today or Tonight …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) As surface high pressure moves east of our area and an upper level low pressure area moves west to east over south Texas, a warm front is lifting northward through the area with southerly surface winds returning. We’ll see a warming trend along with increased cloud cover that will persist into Saturday and Saturday night.

(2) As moisture increases, we’ll see a few rain showers and isolated thunderstorms develop mainly in areas east of the IH35 corridor by tonight into tomorrow as the eastward moving upper level low pressure disturbance makes its closest approach to our south. In addition, dense fog and drizzle will likely become widespread later tonight into early tomorrow.

(3) In the wake of the upper air disturbance later tomorrow into tomorrow night, clouds will break with precipitation moving well east of our area. Another surface cold front will pass through the area by midday Sunday with temperatures cooling again Sunday night into the first part of next week.

(4) A more unstable weather pattern is expected to develop as low pressure develops over west Texas with a corresponding return south southeasterly surface wind by the middle into latter part of next week. Rain and rain shower chances will return to our forecast.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting 0.25 to 0.50 inch of rainfall for our area over the next seven days.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High Confidence

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Thursday / 06 January 2022

TODAY….  Mostly cloudy and unseasonably cold. High 48. Northerly wind 5 mph or less becoming southeasterly by afternoon.

TONIGHT…. Cloudy with patchy fog and drizzle developing. Isolated rain showers mainly after midnight along and east of the IH35 corridor. Where rainfall occurs, given a 20% chance of rain, it will average less than .05 inch. Low 46. Light southeasterly wind.

SATURDAY…. Patchy morning fog and drizzle. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms, with an associated lightning risk, mainly in areas along and east of the IH35 corridor. High 70. Light southeasterly wind becoming south southwesterly 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 59. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Mostly cloudy in the morning then turning partly cloudy as a cold front passes by late morning. High 70. Light southerly wind shifting northerly 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy and cooler. Low 42. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

MONDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 60. North northeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 37. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 61. Light east northeasterly wind becoming more southeasterly by afternoon.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy. Low 43. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles and widely scattered rain showers. Rainfall amounts, given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05 inch. High 63. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered patches of rain and rain showers.  Rainfall amounts, given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 52. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered patches of rain and rain showers.  Rainfall amounts, given a 50% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.25 inch or less. High 67. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.  

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Friday / 14 January 2022 through Thursday / 20 January 2022
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (07 January)……………………………………. 7:28 am
Sunset this evening (07 January)……………………………………… 5:47 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (08 January)………………………………………… 7:29 am
Sunset tomorrow (08 January)…………………………………………. 5:47 pm