Sunshine and Warmer Temperatures in Store (Mo/28Feb2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 28 February 2022
       

  
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

…. No Weather Hazards Expected ….

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) A dry and stable weather pattern prevails with surface high pressure shifting east of the area with a return to south southeasterly surface winds as we get make our way into mid week.

(2) By the end of the week, with much warmer temperatures and a return to a southerly surface wind flow, enough low level moisture will return for increased cloud cover and a slightly more unstable air mass by Friday into the by next Tuesday through the middle into latter part of next week.

(3) With atmospheric pressure lowering over the south central states, we’ll see some isolated to widely scattered patches of rain and rain showers mainly in areas east of the IH35 corridor by Saturday into Sunday with a slightly better chance locally by early Monday as a weak cold front presses southeastward into the area.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting 0.10 inch or less of  precipitation over the next seven days.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.  

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Monday / 28 February 2022

TODAY…. Sunshine. High 66. Light wind becoming easterly 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT…. Becoming partly cloudy. Low 39. Light east southeasterly wind.

TUESDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 69. Light wind becoming southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 42. Light south southeasterly wind.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 71. Light wind becoming south southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 48. Light southeasterly wind.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 75. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 55. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY…. Morning low clouds becoming partly to mostly cloudy. High 78. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Low 61. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY…. Morning low clouds becoming partly to mostly cloudy. High 81. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Low 62. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SUNDAY…. Morning low clouds becoming partly to mostly cloudy. A few sprinkles and rain showers mainly east of the IH35 corridor. Rainfall, given a less than 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05 inch. High 81. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Monday / 07 March 2022 through Sunday / 13 March 2022
Temperatures… Slightly Below Average
Precipitation… Slightly Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (28 February)…………………………………… 6:58 am
Sunset this evening (28 February)…………………………………….. 6:29 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (01 March)……………………………………………. 6:57 am
Sunset tomorrow (01 March)…………………………………………….. 6:30 pm

Clouds and Well Below Average Temperatures Continue (Fr/25Feb2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Friday / 25 February 2022
       
Not Available Today…
  
Contact me:
[email protected]
[email protected]

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

…. Unseasonably Cold Temperatures Today ….

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) The chance of light overrunning precipitation continues as upper air disturbances pass overhead west-to-east on top of the shallow wedge of much colder surface air. Although precipitation chances are down for today into  tonight, the rain chances will increase again late tonight through tomorrow into tomorrow night.

(2) As temperatures remain well below seasonal averages with the clouds and precipitation through tomorrow, clouds will break early Sunday with a dry and sunny
end to the weekend into the first part of next week. Expect warmer temperatures as the sunshine reappears.

(3) With warmer temperatures and a return to a southerly surface wind flow, enough low level moisture will return for increased cloud cover by next Tuesday through the middle into latter part of next week.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting 0.25 inch or less of  precipitation over the next seven days.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.  

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Friday / 25 February 2022

TODAY…. Cloudy and continued unseasonably cold. High 38. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

TONIGHT…. Cloudy with patchy light rain mainly after midnight. Rainfall, at any given location, given a 30% chance of rain, will average trace amounts. Low 34. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY…. Cloudy and continued unseasonably cold with rain likely. Rainfall, at any given location, given a 70% chance of rain, will average 0.25 inch or less. High 42. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with light rain decreasing by 10pm. Rainfall, at any given location, given a 60% chance of early evening rain, will average less than 0.05 inch. Low 38. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Clouds decreasing early becoming partly cloudy and warmer. High 58. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 36. Light east northeasterly wind.

MONDAY…. Sunshine. High 66. Light wind becoming easterly 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Becoming partly cloudy. Low 44. Light east southeasterly wind.

TUESDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 68. Light wind becoming southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 47. Light southeasterly wind.

WEDNESDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 71. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 50. Light southeasterly wind.

THURSDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 73. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Friday / 04 March 2022 through Thursday / 10 March 2022
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Slightly Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (25 February)…………………………………… 7:01 am
Sunset this evening (25 February)…………………………………….. 6:27 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (26 February)……………………………………….. 7:00 am
Sunset tomorrow (26 February)………………………………………… 6:28 pm

Winter Chill Returns (We/23Feb2022)

URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 239 PM CST Wed Feb 23 2022 TXZ171>173-184>194-205>208-240500- /O.CON.KEWX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-220224T1800Z/ …

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