Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Wednesday / 16 February 2022
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
…. No Hazards Expected ….
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) Lower pressure is becoming established over the central plains state and, as that occurs, we’re seeing a warm front return northward across Texas which is returning low level moisture from the Gulf of Mexico.
(2) A stronger upper air low pressure disturbance will move across Texas late tonight into early tomorrow followed by a series of surface cold fronts early Thursday. With better access to low level moisture as well as a more unstable atmosphere, the atmospheric lift associated with these systems will allow for a few sprinkles today into tonight then isolated to widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms later tonight into the predawn hours tomorrow.
(3) In the wake of the upper air low pressure disturbance, a series of cold fronts will pass tomorrow allowing surface high pressure to rebuild southeastward into Texas from the Rockies and Plains. This will allowing for a dry and cooler weather pattern to beginning later tomorrow through our upcoming weekend.
(4) Long range guidance suggests another low pressure storm system will be approaching Texas from the west with a return southerly surface wind as well as increased cloud cover and humidity by early into early parts of next week.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting less than 0.25 inch of precipitation over the next seven days.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A very high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Wednesday / 16 February 2022
TODAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly to mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles. Rainfall, at any given location, given a less than 20% chance of rain, will average trace amounts. High 76. Southerly wind 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts.
TONIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles early and then widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated threat of lightning after 11pm. Rainfall, at any given location, given a 20% chance of rain, will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 59. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph becoming more southwesterly after midnight.
THURSDAY…. Clouds early then clearing and less humid as a series of cold fronts passes. High 73. West southwesterly wind early shifting northerly 10 to 20 mph and gusty.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Colder. Low 33. Northerly wind 8 to 18 mph with some higher gusts.
FRIDAY…. Sunshine. High 59. Northerly wind 8 to 18 mph with some higher gusts.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 34. Light north northeasterly wind.
SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 71. Light wind becoming east southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 40. Light east southeasterly wind.
SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 72. Light wind becoming southerly 5 to 12 mph.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early then increasing low clouds late. Low 54. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
MONDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy and warmer. High 80. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
MONDAY NIGHT…. Becoming mostly cloudy with a few rain showers. Rainfall, at any given location, given a 20% chance of rain, will average less than 0.10 inch. Low 60. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
TUESDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly to mostly cloudy with a few rain showers. Rainfall, at any given location, given a 20% chance of rain, will average less than 0.10 inch. High 82. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 23 February 2022 through Tuesday / 01 March 2022
Temperatures… Near to Slightly Below Average
Precipitation… Above Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (16 February)…………………………………… 7:10 am
Sunset this evening (16 February)…………………………………….. 6:20 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (17 February)……………………………………….. 7:09 am
Sunset tomorrow (17 February)………………………………………… 6:21 pm