Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Friday / 04 March 2022
       

  
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

…. No Weather Hazards Expected ….

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) As we wrap up the week, warmer temperatures with the southerly surface wind flow prevails over our area. Enough low level moisture has returned for increased cloud cover, especially the late night and early morning variety, with a slightly more unstable air mass expected through the weekend. A few sprinkles have developed over the area this morning but have only produced trace rainfall amounts.

(2) With atmospheric pressure lowering over the south central states and a slightly more unstable atmosphere, we’ll see some isolated to widely scattered patches of rain and rain showers mainly in areas along and east of the IH35 corridor by tomorrow as well as Sunday morning with a better chance by Sunday night into early Monday as atmospheric lift increases ahead of a cold front that will move through the area by daybreak Monday.

(4) In the wake of Monday morning cold front, we’ll see some lingering clouds and a return to cooler temperatures into the first half of next week.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting 0.10 inch or less of  precipitation over the next seven days.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A very high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.  

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Friday / 04 March 2022

TODAY…. Morning low clouds and patchy fog becoming partly to mostly cloudy. A few morning sprinkles. Rainfall amounts, given a less than 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. High 79. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with higher afternoon gusts.

TONIGHT…. Becoming mostly cloudy. Low 60. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY…. Morning low clouds becoming partly to mostly cloudy. A few morning sprinkles. Rainfall amounts, given a less than 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. High 80. Southerly wind 8 to 18 mph with higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Low 64. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SUNDAY…. Morning low clouds becoming partly to mostly cloudy. A few morning sprinkles. Rainfall amounts, given a less than 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. High 81. Southerly wind 8 to 18 mph with some higher gusts.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat developing after midnight. Rainfall, given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.20 inch. Low 60. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts becoming more west and southwesterly after midnight.

MONDAY…. Mostly cloudy and cooler as a cold front passes around sunrise. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat mainly before 10am. Rainfall, given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.10 inch. Decreasing clouds in the afternoon. High 66. Southwesterly wind shifting northerly 10 to 20 mph with some higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 40. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TUESDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 60. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 41. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 68. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 42. Light northeasterly wind.

THURSDAY…. Sunshine and warmer. High 76. Light wind becoming southerly 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Friday / 11 March 2022 through Thursday / 17 March 2022
Temperatures… Below Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (04 March)……………………………………….. 6:53 am
Sunset this evening (04 March)…………………………………………. 6:32 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (05 March)……………………………………………. 6:52 am
Sunset tomorrow (05 March)…………………………………………….. 6:33 pm