Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Hanna Approaching the Texas Coast (Fr/24Jul2020)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Friday / 24 July 2020 ….

 

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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

.. Tropical Cyclone Hannah Approaching the Texas Coast ..
.. Overall Forecast Rainfall Amounts on IH35 Corridor Reduced a Bit ..

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES…

(1) Tropical cyclone Hanna, in the northwest Gulf of Mexico, is moving west northwestward and will move ashore of the mid and lower Texas coast by tomorrow. Clouds and better rain chances will result locally with some of that rainfall potentially heavy especially in coastal bend areas and areas well south of Austin (generally south of the IH10 corridor). Over the last 24 hours, NWS/Weather Prediction Center forecast rainfall for te IH35 corridor and the Austin metro area has come down a tad to somewhere in the range of 0.50″ to 1.50″ over the next seven days. Temperatures will fall below seasonal averages over the weekend with the increased tropical moisture and more abundant cloud cover and rain chances. All interests along and onshore of the Texas coast should continue to closely monitor the latest information from the National Weather Service, the National Hurricane Center and trusted weather sources over the two days until landfall. Be a good critical thinker.. avoid unknown/untrusted social media sources that display the worse case forecast scenarios in order to get the most social media “clicks.”

(2) Although rain chances will diminish a bit with the land fall of Hanna and its movement into eastern Mexico over the weekend, lingering tropical moisture will still mean scattered rain showers and thunderstorms for our area into the early into middle part of next week. We’ll see a little more sunshine, though, with afternoon high temperatures edging up a few degrees.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Friday / 24 July 2020

TODAY…. Mostly sunny. High 102 with an afternoon heat index of 105 to 109. East northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat mainly after midnight and mainly south of Austin. A 20%chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 0.25″. Low 77. Easterly wind increasing to 8 to 18 mph.

SATURDAY…. Mostly cloudy and breezy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 50% chance of rain; rainfall will average 0.25 to 0.50″. High 92. Easterly wind 12 to 22 mph except strong, gusty and variable around any thunderstorms.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 60%chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average .25 to .50″. Low 76. Easterly wind 10 to 20 mph early becoming more south southeasterly 8 to 15 mph after midnight. Winds strong, variable and gusty around any thunderstorms.

SUNDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 60% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 0.25″ to 0.50″. High 90. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph except strong, gusty and variable around any thunderstorms.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 40%chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 0.25″ or less. Low 76. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph except strong, gusty and variable around any thunderstorms.

MONDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 50% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 0.25″. High 92. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph except strong, gusty and variable around any thunderstorms.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 0.25″. Low 75. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 40% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 0.25″. High 93. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph except strong, gusty and variable around any thunderstorms.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 0.25″. Low 75. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 0.25″. High 94. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph except strong, gusty and variable around any thunderstorms.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 0.25″. Low 75. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 0.25″. High 95. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph except strong, gusty and variable around any thunderstorms.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK          
Valid Friday / 31 July 2020 through Thursday / 06 August 2020…
Temperatures… Slightly Above Average   
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (24 July)………………………………….. 6:45 am
Sunset this evening (24 July)……………………………………. 8:30 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (25 July)………………………………………. 6:45 am
Sunset tomorrow (25 July)………………………………………… 8:29 pm