Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 02 May 2022
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
…. Lightning Threat With Any Isolated Thunderstorms …
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) In the wake of some overnight rain showers and thunderstorms, I expect a more stable weather pattern to prevail today into tonight with only isolated rain showers and thunderstorms expected.
(2) Another cold front may move deeper into the state tomorrow but again, it should only get as far south as overhead/ just north of our area before weakening and returning northward as a warm front tomorrow night. I will mention a slim rain and thunderstorm chance for this time period.
(3) A stronger cold front will move southward into Texas and perhaps through our local area by late Wednesday into Thursday with a better chance of rain and thunderstorms.
(4) A drier and more stable weather pattern will develop, with abundant sunshine, for Friday into the weekend with afternoon high temperatures warming to well above seasonal averages.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting rainfall of 0.25 to 0.50 inch over our area for the next seven day period.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Monday / 02 May 2022
TODAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise becoming partly to mostly cloudy. Isolated rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a less than 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average less than 0.10 inch. High 89. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy early.. low clouds late. Isolated rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a less than 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average less than 0.10 inch. Low 71. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
TUESDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly to mostly cloudy. Isolated rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a less than 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average less than 0.10 inch. High 90. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early.. low clouds late. Low 72. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.
WEDNESDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly to mostly cloudy. High 90. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early.. low clouds late. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat after 9pm. Given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 72. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
THURSDAY…. Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat as a weak cold front moves through the area by late in the afternoon. Given a 50% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average 0.25 inch or less. High 87. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph shifting light north.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat mainly before 10pm. Given a 50% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average 0.25 inch or less. Decreasing clouds after midnight. Low 68. Light northeasterly wind.
FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 88. Light wind becoming south southeasterly 5 to 10 mph by afternoon.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 70. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY…. Brief morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 93. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 71. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SUNDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. High 95. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 09 May 2022 through Sunday / 15 May 2022
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Slightly Above Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (02 May)………………………………………….. 6:47 am
Sunset this evening (02 May)……………………………………………. 8:10 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (03 May)………………………………………………. 6:46 am
Sunset tomorrow (03 May)……………………………………………….. 8:10 pm