Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Friday / 29 April 2022
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
…. No Weather Hazards Expected …
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) A return south southeasterly surface wind is resulting in warming temperatures and increased humidity for our Friday and into our weekend. Morning low clouds have and may continue to produce some light rain or drizzle and associated trace rainfall amounts over the next few days along the IH35 corridor/Balcones Escarpment.
(2) As a series of weakening cold fronts will move into north and west Texas by Saturday night into Sunday and Monday, we’ll see an increasingly moist and unstable air mass. The fronts themselves, at this point, are not expected to move into our area, However, I am mentioning widely scattered to scattered rain showers and thunderstorms by late Saturday night and Sunday into Monday given the increased instability and low level moisture and possibility that a few storms may work their way in from the north and west.
(3) Another cold front may move deeper into the state late Monday into Monday night but again, it should remain north of our area before weakening and returning northward as a warm front. I will continue a slim rain and thunderstorm chance for this time period.
(4) A stronger cold front will move southward into Texas and perhaps through our local area by Thursday midday with a better chance of rain and thunderstorms.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting rainfall of 0.25 to 0.50 inch over our area for the next seven day period.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Friday / 29 April 2022
TODAY…. Morning low clouds and isolated patches of light rain and drizzle otherwise becoming partly cloudy. Given a less than 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average trace amounts. High 86. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with low clouds developing after 10pm. Low 69. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
SATURDAY…. Morning low clouds and isolated patches of light rain and drizzle otherwise becoming partly cloudy. Given a less than 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall will average trace amounts. High 88. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early.. low clouds late. Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms after 8pm. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average 0.25 inch or less. Low 69. South southeasterly wind decreasing to 5 to 12 mph.
SUNDAY…. Morning low clouds and isolated patches of light rain and drizzle otherwise becoming partly cloudy. High 89. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early.. low clouds late. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average 0.25 inch or less. Low 70. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.
MONDAY…. Morning low clouds and isolated patches of light rain and drizzle otherwise becoming partly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average less than 0.25 inch. High 89. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early.. low clouds late. Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 71. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.
TUESDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 90. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early.. low clouds late. Low 71. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.
WEDNESDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat after 4pm. Given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average less than 0.25 inch. High 89. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early.. low clouds late. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 70. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.
THURSDAY…. Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat as a cold front moves through the area by midday. Given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, rainfall amounts will average 0.25 inch. High 87. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts shifting northerly 8 to 15 mph by midday.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 06 May 2022 through Thursday / 12 May 2022
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Near Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (29 April)………………………………………….. 6:49 am
Sunset this evening (29 April)……………………………………………. 8:08 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (30 April)………………………………………………. 6:48 am
Sunset tomorrow (30 April)……………………………………………….. 8:08 pm