Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Updated 915am CT – Wednesday / 22 February 2017

… A Dry and Stable Weather Pattern …
… Another Dry Cold Frontal Passage Friday …
… Another Low Pressure Area/Cold Frontal Passage by Mid Next Week …

On this Wednesday… weak high pressure is over northern Arkansas and southern Missouri with a trough, or line, of surface low pressure from eastern Kansas across the Oklahoma panhandle and southward across est Texas. As a result, our surface winds across south central Texas are westerly.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere.. a strong upper level low pressure is over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico with a ridge, or line, of upper air high pressure from northern Mexico northeastward across Texas into Missouri. Our upper level winds, at about 30,000 feet overhead, are west northwesterly 65 to 70 mph.

A dry and stable weather pattern continues over the area. Temperatures, with the drier air mass in place, will warm with temperatures through the remainder of the week expected to be well above seasonal averages.

Another quick moving cold front.. this one actually accompanied by a little cooler air.. will move through the area by late Friday afternoon into Friday evening. Low level moisture return ahead of the front will be minimal so I do not anticipate rainfall with the front. Temperatures will cool just a bit with abundant sunshine Friday night into Saturday.

The third low pressure area and surface cold front that I’ve been talking about looks now to be delayed until the Wednesday time period next week. As a result of the system being slowed a bit, I think we’ll see a better moisture return to the area which should result in better rain chances when the front arrives. Since this period is just beyond the reach of my seven day forecast, I not mention any rain chances in this forecast.

Have a good Wednesday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
[email protected]
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT.. Wednesday / 22 February 2017

TODAY…. Sunshine. High 87. South southwesterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 54. Light southerly wind.

THURSDAY…. Sunshine. High 88. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Becoming partly cloudy. Low 58. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming more southwesterly after midnight.

FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny. Turning a little cooler by late afternoon as a cold front passes. High 83. Southwesterly wind shifting northerly 5 to 10 mph by late afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 45. Northerly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming north northeasterly after midnight.

SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 68. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming east northeasterly by late afternoon.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Becoming partly cloudy. Low 44. Easterly wind becoming south southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 75. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with a low overcast developing late. Low 57. South southeasterly winds 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY…. Morning low clouds and patchy morning drizzle otherwise partly cloudy. High 79. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with a low overcast developing late. Low 64. South southeasterly winds 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY…. Morning low clouds and patchy morning drizzle otherwise partly cloudy. High 82. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 01 March 2017 through Tuesday / 07 March 2017…
Temperature… Slightly Above Average
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (22 Feb)……………………………………………. 7:04 am
Sunset this evening (22 Feb)……………………………………………… 6:25 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (23 Feb)………………………………………………… 7:03 am
Sunset tomorrow (23 Feb)…………………………………………………. 6:26 pm

Updated 915am CT – Tuesday / 21 February 2017

… A Dry and Stable Weather Pattern …
… Another Dry Cold Frontal Passage Friday …
… Another Low Pressure Area/Cold Frontal Passage Due Sunday with Some Rain …

On this Tuesday… a weak cold front extends southward from central Missouri into eastern Oklahoma and into Texas well east of the IH35 corridor. As a result, our surface winds across south central Texas are northwesterly.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere.. a strong upper level low pressure is over the Ark-La-Tex region. Our upper level winds, at about 30,000 feet overhead, are northwesterly 90 to 100 mph.

A dry and stable weather pattern persist over the area. Temperatures, with the drier air mass in place, will warm with temperatures through Thursday expected to be well above seasonal averages.

Another quick moving cold front.. this one actually accompanied by a little cooler air.. will move through the area Friday morning into midday. Low level moisture return ahead of the front will be minimal so I do not anticipate rainfall with the front. Temperatures will cool just a bit with abundant sunshine Friday into Saturday.

The third low pressure area and surface cold front that I’ve been talking about looks now to be delayed until the Tuesday and Tuesday night time period next week. As a result of the system being slowed a bit, I think we’ll see a better moisture return to the area which should result in better rain chances when the front arrives. I will cut back rain chances in the Sunday and Monday time period with rain chances arriving just beyond the seven day forecast period.

Have a good Tuesday….
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
[email protected]
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

Updated 845am CT.. Tuesday / 21 February 2017

TODAY…. Sunshine. High 81. Calm wind early becoming southwesterly 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT…. A clear sky. Low 54. Wind becoming light south southwesterly.

THURSDAY…. Sunshine. High 84. South southwesterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 56. Light southerly wind becoming west southwesterly after midnight.

FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny and a little cooler in the wake of a cold front in the morning. High 77. West southwesterly wind shifting northerly 5 to 12 mph by midday into the afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 47. Northerly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming northeasterly after midnight.

SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 72. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming east southeasterly by late afternoon.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Becoming partly cloudy. Low 51. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 75. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with a low overcast developing late. Low 56. South southeasterly 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 77. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 28 February 2017 through Monday / 06 March 2017…
Temperature… Slightly Above Average
Precipitation… Near to Slightly Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (21 Feb)……………………………………………. 7:05 am
Sunset this evening (21 Feb)……………………………………………… 6:24 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (22 Feb)………………………………………………… 7:04 am
Sunset tomorrow (22 Feb)…………………………………………………. 6:25 pm

Updated 915am CT – Monday / 20 February 2017 … After Overnight Thunderstorms, A Drier and More Stable Weather Pattern …

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Updated 915am CT – Friday / 17 February 2017 … Sunshine with a Warming Trend into the Weekend … … …

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My forecast update not available today. Link here for the latest NWS forecast for the Austin metro area.