Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

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TK’s Austin/South Central Texas Forecast (Wed/18Apr2012)

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Updated 130pm CDT.. Wednesday / 18 April 2012

TODAY…. Mostly sunny. High 79 to 83. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 58 to 62. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 80 to 84. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with low clouds developing late. Low 60 to 64. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise partly cloudy with a 20% chance of rain showers and thunderstorms in the midday into afternoon hours as a cold front passes. High 77 to 81.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. A few evening sprinkles.. otherwise clearing and cooler. Low 55 to 59.

SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 74 to 78.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. A clear sky. Low 53 to 57.

SUNDAY…. Sunshine. High 77 to 79.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. A clear sky. Low 56 to 60.

MONDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 79 to 83.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 57 to 61.

TUESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 80 to 84.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 25 Apr 2012 through Tuesday / 1 May 2012…
Temperature… Near Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (18 Apr)…………… 7:00 am
Sunset this evening (18 Apr)…………….. 8:01 pm
Sunrise Thursday (19 Apr)……………….. 6:59 am
Sunset Thursday (19 Apr)………………… 8:01 pm

….AUSTIN AREA POLLEN COUNT….
…RECORDED TUESDAY / 17 APRIL 2012…
(Note: This is the most recent report that has been provided.
This count is updated as provided on weekdays only and is
courtesy of Austin Allergy Associates and Dr. T. Ray Vaughn
and Dr. P. Dennis Dyer)

Molds….. 3360 gr/cubic meter (High) – Up Since Last Reading
Grasses….. 0 gr/cubic meter (Low) – Down Since Last Reading
Weeds…… 0 gr/cubic meter (Low) – Down Since Last Reading
…Breakdown of Weeds:
…None Reported …
Trees…… 55 gr/cubic meter (Low) – Down Since Last Reading
…Breakdown of Trees:
…Oak 20… Pecan 35…

TK’s Weather Discussion (Wed/18Apr2012)

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Updated 130pm CDT Wednesday / 18 April 2012

…. Drier and More Stable Weather Pattern Continues Over Next Day or So ….
…. A Cold Front with Slim Chance of Rain Friday into Friday Evening ….
…. Sunny Skies with Seasonal Temperatures For the Weekend into the New Week ….

On this Wednesday… a stationary front extends southwestward from South Carolina and Georgia into coastal Alabama and then into the north central Gulf of Mexico. Surface high pressure.. behind the front.. extends from the northeastern states into east Texas. As a result, a southerly surface wind has returned to our area.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere, an upper level trough of low pressure is over the eastern USA with another developing upper air low pressure area in the eastern Pacific west of the Baja Peninsula. As a result of the upper air wind flow, the upper level winds are moderate westerly over our area of Texas.

High pressure, which has built into our area behind the front to our southeast over the Gulf of Mexico, has now moved east of our area with a southerly surface wind having returned to the area.

We’re still on tap for a cold front to move through the area by Friday midday and afternoon. I still have my doubts about the quantity of enough low level moisture that will have returned on the heels of the southerly wind to allow for increased clouds and rain shower and thunderstorm chances. In addition, newest guidance suggests that there will be a stable air aloft which will prevent much in the way of precipitation until the front gets to the IH35 corridor and eastward. As a result, right now, I will leave the very slim rain chances in the forecast.

High pressure, characterized by slightly cooler (mainly at night) and drier air, will build into the area with the passage of the front Friday afternoon with a typical spring outdoor weekend in store next Saturday.. Sunday and into the new week.

High pressure will move east of the area by late Monday into Tuesday along with the development of a trough of low pressure to our west; as a result, a south southeasterly surface winds will return with a return of low level moisture.

My forecast confidence is now high to very high through the seven day forecast period.

For Austin and south central Texas… tonight will see a mostly clear sky. Lows in the 50s. South southeasterly wind. For tomorrow, it’ll be mostly sunny. Highs in the 80s with a southerly wind.

Have a good Wednesday night and Thursday…
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel