Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

troyk

TK’s Austin and South Central Texas Forecast….

by

Updated 845am CT.. Monday / 23 December 2013

TODAY…. Sunshine. High 51 to 55. Northerly 5 to 10 mph.

TONIGHT…. A clear sky with a freeze in most areas. Low 26 to 30 in most areas to near 32 in the downtown area. Light northeasterly wind.

TUESDAY…. Sunshine. High 53 to 57. Light easterly winds early becoming southeasterly 5 to 10 mph by afternoon.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. A mostly clear evening with increasing and thickening clouds after 9pm. Low 35 to 39. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY /CHRISTMAS DAY/…. A cloudy sky with a few sprinkles. Rainfall.. where it occurs.. will only average trace amounts. High 54 to 58. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Low 37 to 41. Light southerly wind becoming northerly after midnight as a cold front passes.

THURSDAY…. Decreasing clouds early becoming partly cloudy. High 53 to 57. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 34 to 38. Light northeasterly wind.

FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 54 to 58. Light east northeasterly wind.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Sunshine. Low 35 to 39. Light easterly wind.

SATURDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 58 to 62. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 40 to 44. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 57 to 61. Southerly wind becoming northerly 5 to 12 mph as a cold front passes.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 30 December 2013  through Sunday / 5 January 2014…
Temperature… Slightly Below Average
Precipitation… Near to Slightly Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (23 December)…………………………….. 7:24 am
Sunset this evening (23 December)………………………………. 5:36 pm
Sunrise Tuesday (24 December)………………………………….. 7:25 am
Sunset Tuesday (24 December)…………………………………… 5:37 pm

TK’s Weather Discussion….

by

Updated 845am CT Monday / 23 December 2013

…. A Dry and Stable Weather Pattern ….
…. Passing Upper Air Storm System with a Few Sprinkles Christmas Day ….
…. Dry Weather Pattern Late Week through the Weekend ….

On this Monday morning…. a surface high pressure area extends south southeastward from the Dakotas to over Missouri then south southwestward over Texas. A low pressure trough.. or line.. of low pressure extends southward from southeastern Colorado and southwestern Kansas into New Mexico. As a result of this surface weather pattern, surface winds are light northeasterly across our area.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere… a deep upper level low pressure trough is over the central USA. As a result, the upper level winds over south central Texas and the Austin metro area about 18,000 feet above the ground are west southwesterly at 65 to 75 mph.

A dry and stable weather pattern continues as we start the Christmas holiday week. Surface high pressure.. overhead now.. will move eastward and return a south southeasterly surface wind as early as tomorrow.

Another upper level low pressure will sweep eastward across Texas on Christmas Day but the atmosphere overhead will be moisture starved so we’ll increase cloud cover but only a few sprinkles are expected. With the passage of the system, clouds will break early Thursday.

Another extended period of dry and stable weather.. with near to slightly below average temperatures.. is expected for the latter part of the week through the weekend.

Regarding my forecast, my local forecast confidence: My confidence in my forecast is very high through tomorrow and tomorrow night. For Christmas Day, my forecast confidence falls high (whether or not rain occurs). My forecast confidence returns to very high for Thursday through the weekend.

Have a good Monday…
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
[email protected]
http://www.facebook.com/troykimmel

TK’s Special Briefing….

by

Austin / Travis County and South Central Texas Special Weather Briefing #1 Prepared by Incident Meteorologist Troy Kimmel (www.troykimmelweather.com) 530pm …

Read more