Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Thursday / 04 February 2021
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
… No Weather Risks Expected …
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) High pressure is well to the east of the area with a return south southeasterly surface wind in place as evidenced by the return of low clouds to the area this morning. Temperatures, with abundant sunshine, will warm to well above seasonal averages by this afternoon. A cold front, accompanied by some cloudiness but no rainfall, will move through the area later this afternoon after maximum daytime heating with clearing skies and a little cooler temperatures expected in the wake of the front.
(2) The expected cold front on Saturday now looks like it will hold up to our north and not be a major weather factor locally. Surface winds may turn more easterly Saturday night into Sunday. As a series of upper level low pressure disturbances move through the area by late Sunday into Monday and Monday night, winds will return more southerly late Sunday into Monday night ahead of another much stronger cold front that will surge southward by Tuesday. As a result, don’t be surprised to see increased cloud cover by Monday night into Tuesday and Wednesday as this transition occurs. Based on the latest guidance, I will include slim rain chances for Wednesday as even colder air moves into Texas from the north and a cloudy overrunning weather pattern becomes better established.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, over the next seven days, is forecasting less than .05″ rainfall for the IH35 corridor.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to Very High Confidence through Monday..
Medium Confidence Monday Night through Thursday..
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Thursday / 04 February 2021
TODAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny, breezy and unseasonably warm/record warmth before a cold front arrives by afternoon. High 84. South southwesterly wind 10 to 20 mph and gusty shifting north northwesterly 10 to 20 mph and gusty by afternoon.
TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy and cooler. Low 44. Northerly 8 to 15 mph and gusty slowly diminishing after midnight.
FRIDAY…. Sunshine and cooler. High 62. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 42. Light northeasterly wind early becoming light east southeasterly after midnight.
SATURDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 69. Light wind becoming southerly 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 42. East southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SUNDAY…. Sunshine. High 72. South southeasterly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph and gusty.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Becoming partly cloudy. Low 52. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
MONDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 77. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph and gusty.
MONDAY NIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming partly cloudy and turning cooler as a cold front passes after midnight. Low 46. Southwesterly wind 4 to 8 mph shifting northerly 8 to 15 mph and gusty.
TUESDAY…. Partly cloudy and cooler. High 60. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy and colder. Low 35. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
WEDNESDAY…. Cloudy with a few sprinkles. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average .05″ or less. High 49. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 10 February 2021 through Wednesday / 17 February 2021…
Temperatures… Below Average
Precipitation… Above Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (04 February)…………………………………. 7:20 am
Sunset this evening (04 February)…………………………………… 6:11 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (05 February)……………………………………… 7:19 am
Sunset tomorrow (05 February)………………………………………. 6:11 pm