Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Wednesday / 03 February 2021
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx
—-
AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
… No Weather Risks Expected …
—-
AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) High pressure is well to the east of the area with a return south southeasterly surface wind in place. Temperatures, with abundant sunshine, will warm to well above seasonal averages into tomorrow.
(2) A cold front, accompanied by some cloudiness but no rainfall, will move through the area tomorrow afternoon with clearing skies and a little cooler temperatures expected in the wake of the front.
(3) A stronger, reinforcing dry cold front will surge through the area on Saturday afternoon with cooler temperatures expected under a mostly clear sky Saturday night into Sunday. Indications are that we’re likely to see lows in the 30s to near 40 again Saturday night as well as Sunday night as high pressure settles southward into the area in the wake of the front.
(4) The cooler surface air mass will modify a bit by late Sunday into Monday and Monday night as surface winds turning more south southeasterly. As a series of upper level low pressure disturbances move through the area, another cold front will surge southward by Tuesday into the middle part of next week. As a result, don’t be surprised to see increased cloud cover by Monday night into Tuesday and Wednesday as this transition occurs. Based on the latest guidance, at this point, I do not have enough confidence to include any rain chances but the rain chances may trend upwards by the end of next week, beyond the seven day forecast period, as colder air moves into Texas.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, over the next seven days, is forecasting little if any rainfall for the IH35 corridor.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to Very High Confidence through Monday..
Medium Confidence Monday Night through Tuesday..
—-
Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Wednesday / 03 February 2021
TODAY…. Sunshine. High 74. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with low clouds late. Low 57. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
THURSDAY…. Morning low clouds.. otherwise mostly sunny, breezy and unseasonably warm before a cold front arrives by afternoon. High 84. South southwesterly wind 10 to 20 mph and gusty shifting north northwesterly 10 to 20 mph and gusty by afternoon.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy and cooler. Low 44. Northerly 8 to 15 mph and gusty slowly diminishing after midnight.
FRIDAY…. Sunshine and not as warm. High 64. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph in the morning becoming southeasterly by mid and late afternoon.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 42. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY…. Mostly sunny as a stronger cold front passes in the mid and late afternoon hours. High 69 by mid afternoon with temperatures falling to around 60 by late afternoon. Light wind becoming northerly 10 to 20 mph and gusty by mid and late afternoon.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear and colder with a light freeze possible in outlying and low lying areas. Low 35. Northerly wind slowly diminishing to 5 to 12 mph.
SUNDAY…. Sunshine. High 62. North northeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph becoming more east southeasterly late in the day.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 41. Light southeasterly wind becoming calm.
MONDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 65. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
MONDAY NIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming partly cloudy. Low 48. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
TUESDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy as a cold front passes. High 61. Southeasterly wind becoming northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 09 February 2021 through Monday / 15 February 2021…
Temperatures…Below Average
Precipitation… Slightly Above Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (02 February)…………………………………. 7:21 am
Sunset this evening (02 February)…………………………………… 6:09 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (03 February)……………………………………… 7:20 am
Sunset tomorrow (03 February)………………………………………. 6:10 pm