Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Rain Chances Return; Heavier Rain Possible Over the Coming Days (Tu/28Sep2021)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Tuesday / 28 September 2021

Not Available Today…
  
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… Any Thunderstorms Will Be Accompanied by Lightning Threat …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) As a slow moving upper air disturbance moves in from the west, clouds and low level humidity has increased with the chance of rain showers and thunderstorms appearing by later today into tonight and continuing through the remainder of the seven day forecast period. It appears that periods of heavier rain are possible particularly Wednesday into Friday.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, over the next seven days, is predicting 3.00 inches + of rainfall.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to Very High confidence through Monday.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Tuesday / 28 September 2021

TODAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. Scattered mid and late afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 30% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25 inch. High 93. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 60% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25 to 0.75 inch. Low 73. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Cloudy. Numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 70%chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.50 to 0.75 inch. High 90. East southeasterly wind  5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy. Rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 50% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.50 to 0.75 inch. Low 72. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY…. Cloudy. Rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 80%chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.50 to 0.75 inch. High 88. Southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 60% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.50 to 0.75 inch. Low 71. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY…. Cloudy. Rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 70%chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.50 to 0.75 inch. High 85. East southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy. Rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 50% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.50 to 0.75 inch. Low 70. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY…. Cloudy. Numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 60%chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25 to 0.50 inch. High 84. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 40% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25 to 0.50 inch. Low 70. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 50%chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25 inch. High 84. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 20% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25 inch. Low 70. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 30% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25 to 0.50 inch. High 85. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Tuesday / 05 October 2021 through Monday / 11 October 2021…
Temperatures… Slightly Above Average  
Precipitation…  Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (28 September)…………………………………… 7:23 am
Sunset this evening (28 September)…………………………………….. 7:20 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (29 September)……………………………………….. 7:23 am
Sunset tomorrow (29 September)………………………………………… 7:18 pm

Humidity on the Increase with Rain Chances Returning (Mo/27Sep2021)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 27 September 2021

  
Contact me:
[email protected]
[email protected]

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Hazards Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) Low level moisture is increasing with the approach of a slow moving upper air disturbance from the west. Clouds will be increasing over the next 24 hours with the chance of rain showers and thunderstorms by tomorrow continuing through the remainder of the seven day forecast period. It appears that periods of heavier rain are possible particularly Wednesday into Friday.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, over the next seven days, is predicting 2.00 to 2.50 inches of rainfall.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High confidence through Sunday.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Monday / 27 September 2021

TODAY…. Mostly sunny early becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. High 92. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Becoming mostly cloudy. Low 72. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. Scattered mainly afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 40% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25 inch. High 92. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 60% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25 inch. Low 73. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Cloudy. Numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 70%chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.50 to 0.75 inch. High 90. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy. Rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 80% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.50 to 0.75 inch. Low 72. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY…. Cloudy. Rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 80%chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.50 to 0.75 inch. High 88. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy. Rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 80% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.50 to 0.75 inch. Low 71. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY…. Cloudy. Rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 80%chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.50 to 0.75 inch. High 86. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy. Rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 80% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.50 to 0.75 inch. Low 70. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY…. Cloudy. Numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 60%chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25 to 0.50 inch. High 84. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 50% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25 to 0.50 inch. Low 70. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 40%chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25 inch. High 84. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Monday / 04 October 2021 through Sunday / 10 October 2021…
Temperatures… Above Average  
Precipitation…  Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (27 September)…………………………………… 7:22 am
Sunset this evening (27 September)…………………………………….. 7:21 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (28 September)……………………………………….. 7:23 am
Sunset tomorrow (28 September)………………………………………… 7:20 pm