Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Friday / 24 September 2021
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
… No Weather Hazards Expected …
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) With the surface high now moving east of the area into the weekend, south southeasterly surface winds return, temperatures will warm once again to above seasonal averages by the weekend into early next week with abundant sunshine.
(2) Enough low level moisture will be in place and combine with instability and an approaching upper air disturbance from the west to produce scattered rain showers and thunderstorms by Monday into Tuesday and continuing through the middle part of next week. While I will continue to increase rain chances, I will be a bit more conservative in my rain chances until there is a little more consistency in the atmospheric model guidance.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, over the next seven days, is now predicting 1.00 to 1.50 inch of rainfall.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to very high confidence through Thursday.
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Friday / 24 September 2021
TODAY…. Sunshine. High 90. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
TONIGHT…. Clear. Low 60. Light southeasterly wind.
SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 91. Light wind early becoming east southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 62. Light south southeasterly wind.
SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 92. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 66. Light southeasterly wind.
MONDAY…. Mostly sunny early becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. Widely scattered afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 20% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.10 inch. High 91. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 20% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.10 inch. Low 70. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
TUESDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 40% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25 inch. High 90. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 30% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.10 inch. Low 70. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
WEDNESDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly to mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 50%chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25 inch. High 89. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 30% chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.10 inch. Low 70. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
THURSDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly to mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Given a 50%chance of rain, where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25 inch. High 89. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 01 October 2021 through Thursday / 07 October 2021…
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Slightly Above Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (24 September)…………………………………… 7:21 am
Sunset this evening (24 September)…………………………………….. 7:23 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (25 September)……………………………………….. 7:22 am
Sunset tomorrow (25 September)………………………………………… 7:22 pm