Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Stable Weather Pattern Continues with Sunshine and Warmer Temperatures (Tu/01Mar2022)

Audio Weather Webcast (Top Two Sections Only)
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Tuesday / 01 March 2022
       

  
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

…. No Weather Hazards Expected ….

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) A dry and stable weather pattern prevails with surface high pressure shifting east of the area with a return to south southeasterly surface.

(2) By the end of the week, with much warmer temperatures and a return to a southerly surface wind flow, enough low level moisture will return for increased cloud cover and a slightly more unstable air mass by Friday through the weekend.

(3) With atmospheric pressure lowering over the south central states and a slightly more unstable atmosphere, we’ll also see some isolated to widely scattered patches of rain and rain showers mainly in areas east of the IH35 corridor by Saturday into Sunday with a slightly better chance locally by Sunday night into early Monday as a weak cold front presses southeastward into the area.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting 0.25 inch or less of  precipitation over the next seven days.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.  

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Tuesday / 01 March 2022

TODAY…. Mostly sunny. High 70. Light wind becoming southerly 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT…. A few clouds. Low 42. Light south southeasterly wind.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 73. Light wind becoming southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 48. Light southeasterly wind.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 75. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 55. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY…. Morning low clouds becoming partly to mostly cloudy. High 78. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Low 62. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY…. Morning low clouds becoming partly to mostly cloudy. High 81. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Low 62. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SUNDAY…. Morning low clouds becoming partly to mostly cloudy. A few sprinkles and rain showers mainly east of the IH35 corridor. Rainfall, given a less than 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05 inch. High 81. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms developing after midnight. Rainfall, given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.20 inch. Low 63. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

MONDAY…. Mostly cloudy and turning a little cooler as a cold front passes in the early morning hours. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. Rainfall, given a 40% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.20 inch. High 70. Southwesterly wind shifting northerly 8 to 15 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Tuesday / 08 March 2022 through Monday / 14 March 2022
Temperatures… Slightly Below Average
Precipitation… Near Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (01 March)……………………………………….. 6:57 am
Sunset this evening (01 March)…………………………………………. 6:30 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (02 March)……………………………………………. 6:56 am
Sunset tomorrow (02 March)…………………………………………….. 6:31 pm

Sunshine and Warmer Temperatures in Store (Mo/28Feb2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 28 February 2022
       

  
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

…. No Weather Hazards Expected ….

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) A dry and stable weather pattern prevails with surface high pressure shifting east of the area with a return to south southeasterly surface winds as we get make our way into mid week.

(2) By the end of the week, with much warmer temperatures and a return to a southerly surface wind flow, enough low level moisture will return for increased cloud cover and a slightly more unstable air mass by Friday into the by next Tuesday through the middle into latter part of next week.

(3) With atmospheric pressure lowering over the south central states, we’ll see some isolated to widely scattered patches of rain and rain showers mainly in areas east of the IH35 corridor by Saturday into Sunday with a slightly better chance locally by early Monday as a weak cold front presses southeastward into the area.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting 0.10 inch or less of  precipitation over the next seven days.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.  

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Monday / 28 February 2022

TODAY…. Sunshine. High 66. Light wind becoming easterly 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT…. Becoming partly cloudy. Low 39. Light east southeasterly wind.

TUESDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 69. Light wind becoming southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 42. Light south southeasterly wind.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 71. Light wind becoming south southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 48. Light southeasterly wind.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 75. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 55. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY…. Morning low clouds becoming partly to mostly cloudy. High 78. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Low 61. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY…. Morning low clouds becoming partly to mostly cloudy. High 81. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Low 62. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SUNDAY…. Morning low clouds becoming partly to mostly cloudy. A few sprinkles and rain showers mainly east of the IH35 corridor. Rainfall, given a less than 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05 inch. High 81. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Monday / 07 March 2022 through Sunday / 13 March 2022
Temperatures… Slightly Below Average
Precipitation… Slightly Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (28 February)…………………………………… 6:58 am
Sunset this evening (28 February)…………………………………….. 6:29 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (01 March)……………………………………………. 6:57 am
Sunset tomorrow (01 March)…………………………………………….. 6:30 pm

Winter Chill Returns (We/23Feb2022)

URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 239 PM CST Wed Feb 23 2022 TXZ171>173-184>194-205>208-240500- /O.CON.KEWX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-220224T1800Z/ …

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