Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Tuesday / 23 November 2021
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx
—-
AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
… No Weather Threats Expected Today or Tonight …
—-
AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) Surface high pressure is moving eastward out of the area as we get our Tuesday underway with a southerly surface wind developing by this afternoon.
(2) A strong upper level low pressure disturbance and associated surface cold front is anticipated by late tomorrow night into Thanksgiving Day with numerous rain showers and thunderstorms possible as early as Wednesday evening. Cooler air will once again spread southward through the area by midday into the afternoon Thursday with rain chances lingering back in the cooler air well into Thanksgiving Day.
(3) Skies will partially clear Friday; however, an upper air low pressure disturbance will pass overhead by late Friday night through Saturday into Sunday with increased clouds and a slim chance of rain for our area.
(4) Expect any rain chances to drop from the forecast by late Sunday as skies partially clear Sunday night into Monday.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting 0.50 to 1.00 inch of rain for our area over the next seven days.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to very high confidence through Friday night.. medium to high confidence Saturday through Monday.
—-
Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Tuesday / 23 November 2021
TODAY…. Sunshine. High 74. Light wind becoming southerly and increasing to 5 to 12 mph.
TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy early. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy with a some patchy drizzle developing after midnight. Where rainfall occurs, given a 20% chance of rain, rainfall will average trace amounts. Low 55. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
WEDNESDAY…. Some patchy morning drizzle otherwise mostly cloudy and becoming breezy. High 77. Southerly wind 8 to 18 mph with some higher gusts.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk mainly after 11pm. Where rainfall occurs, given a 80% chance of rain, it will average 0.25 inch. Low 59. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light southerly late.
THURSDAY /THANKSGIVING DAY/…. Cloudy with numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk as a cold front passes in the morning rush hours. Rain chances decreasing in the afternoon. Where rainfall occurs, given a 80% chance of rain, it will average 0.50 to 0.75 inch. High 62. Westerly wind becoming northerly 8 to 18 mph with higher gusts.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy through midnight then decreasing clouds. Breezy and cooler. Low 41. Northerly wind 8 to 18 mph with higher gusts.
FRIDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 59. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming more northeasterly in the afternoon.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 42. Light northeasterly wind.
SATURDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy early then mostly cloudy. A few sprinkles developing by afternoon. Where rainfall occurs, given a 20% chance of rain, will average trace amounts. High 61. Light wind becoming southwesterly 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a few rain showers. Where rainfall occurs, given a 20% chance of rain, will average 0.05 inch or less. Low 47. Light wind.
SUNDAY…. Mostly clouds with a few morning rain showers. Becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. Where rainfall occurs, given a 20% chance of rain, will average 0.05 inch or less. High 68. Light wind.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 44. Light wind.
MONDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 69. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 30 November 2021 through Monday / 06 December 2021…
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Near to Slightly Above Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (23 November)……………………………………. 7:03 am
Sunset this evening (23 November)……………………………………… 5:31 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (24 November)………………………………………… 7:04 am
Sunset tomorrow (24 November)…………………………………………. 5:31 pm