Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 22 November 2021
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
… No Weather Threats Expected …
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) As surface high pressure builds into the area from the north, we’re seeing abundant sunshine and cooler temperatures in the wake of the front that passed late Sunday afternoon.
(2) A strong upper level low pressure disturbance and associated surface cold front is anticipated by Wednesday night into Thanksgiving Day with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms possible as early as late Wednesday. Cooler air will once again spread southward through the area by midday into the afternoon Thursday with rain chances lingering back in the cooler air through Thanksgiving Day.
(3) Skies will clear or partially clear Friday through the upcoming weekend. Another upper air low pressure disturbance may pass overhead Saturday into Saturday night but I am not confident enough to include rain chances at this time.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting 0.50 to 1.00 inch of rain for our area over the next seven days.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to very high confidence through Thursday.. medium to high confidence Thursday night through Sunday.
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Monday / 22 November 2021
TODAY…. Sunshine. High 69. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
TONIGHT…. Clear. Low 43. Northerly wind becoming light late.
TUESDAY…. Sunshine. High 73. Light wind becoming southerly and increasing to 5 to 12 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy with a some patchy drizzle developing after midnight. Where rainfall occurs, given a 20% chance of rain, rainfall will average trace amounts. Low 55. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
WEDNESDAY…. Some patchy morning drizzle and fog otherwise mostly cloudy and becoming breezy. High 76. Southerly wind 8 to 18 mph with some higher gusts.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk mainly after 10pm. Where rainfall occurs, given a 50% chance of rain, it will average 0.25 inch. Low 61. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light late.
THURSDAY /THANKSGIVING DAY/…. Cloudy with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk as a cold front passes in the morning hours. Where rainfall occurs, given a 60% chance of rain, it will average 0.50 to 0.75 inch. High 64. Westerly wind becoming northerly 8 to 15 mph.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Breezy and cooler. Low 42. Northerly wind 8 to 18 mph.
FRIDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 61. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming more northeasterly in the afternoon.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Becoming partly cloudy. Low 43. Light east northeasterly wind.
SATURDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy. High 64. Light wind.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 48. Light wind.
SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 68. Light wind becoming southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 29 November 2021 through Sunday / 05 December 2021…
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (22 November)……………………………………. 7:03 am
Sunset this evening (22 November)……………………………………… 5:31 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (23 November)………………………………………… 7:03 am
Sunset tomorrow (23 November)…………………………………………. 5:31 pm