Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 31 October 2022

 

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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Hazards Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) An upper low pressure storm system will be crossing over south Texas over the next 24 hours with scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms expected mainly in areas south of Austin.

(2) In the wake of the early week system, we will find ourselves in a pretty stable fall weather pattern beginning tomorrow and continuing into Thursday with afternoon high temperatures warming back to above seasonal averages.

(3) In lower confidence forecast, a strong upper level low pressure disturbance and an associated surface cold front is forecast to approach and then slowly move across Texas beginning Friday. Clouds and rain and thunderstorm chances show up again on Friday and continue into the weekend.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance suggests 0.50 to 1.00 inch rainfall over the next seven day forecast period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast through Thursday before falling back to a medium confidence forecast for Friday through the weekend.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Monday / 31 October 2022

TODAY…. Partly cloudy. High 79. Calm wind becoming south southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers developing after 12 midnight in areas mainly south of Austin. Rainfall, given a 40%chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.10 inch or less. Low 59. Light east southeasterly wind becoming calm.

TUESDAY…. Mostly cloudy with a few rain showers before noon. Becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. Rainfall, given a 20%chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. High 76. Calm wind becoming west northwest 4 to 8 mph in the morning and then southeasterly in the afternoon.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 58. Light southeasterly wind becoming calm.

WEDNESDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 79. Calm wind becoming south southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 64. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 83. South southeasterly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early then becoming mostly cloudy. Low 68. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly to mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat by afternoon. Rainfall, given a 40%chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.25 inch or less. High 82. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, given a 40%chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.25 inch. Low 62. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, given a 50%chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.25 inch. High 79. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat before 8pm as a cold front passes. Partial clearing late. Rainfall, given a 40%chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.25 inch or less. Low 55. Southerly wind shifting northwesterly 8 to 18 mph.

SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny and less humid. High 76. North northwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 07 November through Sunday / 13 November 2022
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Slightly Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (31 Oct)………………………………………… 7:45 am
Sunset this evening (31 Oct)………………………………………….. 6:44 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (01 Nov)…………………………………………….. 7:45 am
Sunset tomorrow (01 Nov)……………………………………………… 6:43 pm