Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Much Cooler Temperatures to Start the New Week.. Hey, There’s More Rain on the Way, Too! (Mo/07Mar2022)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 07 March 2022
       

  
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

…. No Weather Hazards Expected ….

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) In the wake of our overnight cold front, a shallow wedge of colder surface based air has settled southward across our area. A few lingering post frontal rain showers will continue into midday. Clouds will partially break by this afternoon.

(2) A passing upper air low pressure disturbance, moving eastward over deep south Texas, will thicken cloud cover and return rain chances to the forecast by tonight into tomorrow. Most precipitation will remain south and southeast of the Austin metro area.

(3) In the wake of the upper air disturbance, rain chances and clouds will decrease by tomorrow night into Wednesday with a return to sunshine for Wednesday into Thursday. Temperatures will warm to back above seasonal averages by Thursday.

(4) A strong cold front will move across the area late Thursday night with a few rain showers possible. Skies will clear pretty rapidly Friday following the cold frontal passage. As skies become mostly clear Friday through the weekend, much cooler air will once take hold over the IH35 corridor with freezes possible, especially in low lying and outlying areas both overnight Friday night as well as overnight Saturday night.

(5) As southerly surface winds return by late Sunday with plenty of sunshine, temperatures will warm back to near seasonal averages.

 

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting less than 0.25 inch of  precipitation over the next seven days.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high confidence forecast through the 7 day forecast period.  

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Monday / 07 March 2022

TODAY…. Mostly cloudy and unseasonably cool. Isolated sprinkles before midday. Rainfall, given a 20%chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. Decreasing clouds becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. High 54. Northerly wind 10 to 20 mph with some higher gusts.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy early then increasing clouds. Low 41. North northeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph decreasing after midnight.

TUESDAY…. Cloudy and unseasonably cool. Scattered patches of rain and a few rain showers. Rainfall, given a 50%chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.10 inch. High 50. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles before 10pm. Rainfall, given a 20%chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. Low 39. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming calm after midnight.

WEDNESDAY…. Decreasing clouds early becoming mostly sunny. High 67. Calm wind becoming north northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 41. Light northeasterly wind becoming calm.

THURSDAY…. Sunshine and warmer. High 75. Calm wind becoming southerly 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Becoming mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers developing as a cold front passes after midnight. Rainfall, given a 20%chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05 inch. Turning windy and colder. Low 38. Light southerly wind shifting north northwesterly 10 to 20 mph with some higher gusts.

FRIDAY…. Windy and unseasonably cool. Cloudy with a few sprinkles before noon. Rainfall, given a 20%chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. Decreasing clouds midday becoming mostly sunny in the afternoon. High 52. North northwesterly wind 15 to 25 mph with some higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Clear with a late season freeze possible in the outlying and low lying areas. Low 25 to 30 away from the urban areas to 30 to 35 in the city. Northerly wind decreasing to 8 to 15 mph.

SATURDAY…. Sunshine and unseasonably cool. High 58. Northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Clear with a late season freeze possible in the outlying and low lying areas. Low 27 to 31 away from the urban areas to 32 to 36 in the city.

SUNDAY…. Sunshine. High 70. East northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Monday / 14 March 2022 through Sunday / 20 March 2022
Temperatures… Near to Slightly Below Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (07 March)……………………………………….. 6:50 am
Sunset this evening (07 March)…………………………………………. 6:34 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (08 March)……………………………………………. 6:49 am
Sunset tomorrow (08 March)…………………………………………….. 6:35 pm