Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Tuesday / 15 September 2020 ….
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
… A Lightning Hazard Associated with Any Thunderstorm …
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) The weak stationary front is draped out along the Texas coast this morning. Short range, high resolution model guidance suggests that isolated to widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms may once again develop today and tomorrow in the afternoon into the evening but the rain chances for any given location will remain really slim and mainly in areas along and east of the IH35 corridor.
(2) The front to our southeast will be washing out mid into late week as an approaching upper level low pressure disturbance, moving in from the west northwest, results in a more unstable weather pattern with an increase in cloud cover and rain chances by Thursday and Friday.
(3) As the upper air disturbance moves eastward away from the area and remnants of tropical cyclone Sally moves northeastward through the Tennessee Valley and the southeastern USA, another weak cold front will “backdoor” (moving in from the north northeast) its way across the IH35 corridor Friday night into early Saturday. This will result in drier and slightly cooler air moving into the area from the northeast along with plenty of sunshine for our upcoming weekend and into next week.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance suggests the potential of 0.25″ to 0.50″ of rain, in general, for the IH35 corridor over the next seven days (through Monday) with temperatures near to slightly below seasonal averages.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
Today through Wednesday..
Very High confidence
Thursday through Friday..
Medium to High confidence
Saturday through Monday..
Very High confidence
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Tuesday / 15 September 2020
TODAY…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat mainly in areas east of the IH35 corridor. A 20%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25″. High 91. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms before 8pm with an associated lightning threat mainly in areas east of the IH35 corridor. A 20%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25″. Low 72. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
WEDNESDAY…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered afternoon rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat mainly in areas east of the IH35 corridor. A 20%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25″. High 91. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with isolated rain showers and thunderstorms before 8pm with an associated lightning threat mainly in areas east of the IH35 corridor. A less than 20%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25″. Low 71. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light.
THURSDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 40%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″. High 89. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 20%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25″. Low 70. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
FRIDAY…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 30%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″ or less. High 90. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early becoming mostly clear after midnight as a weak cold front passes. Low 69. Light northeasterly wind increasing to 5 to 12 mph after midnight.
SATURDAY…. Sunshine and less humid. High 87. Northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 64. Light northeasterly wind.
SUNDAY…. Sunshine. High 86. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 65. Light wind.
MONDAY…. Sunshine. High 87. Light east northeasterly wind.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 22 September 2020 through Monday / 28 September 2020…
Temperatures… Near to Slightly Below Average
Precipitation… Below Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (15 September)…………………………….. 7:16 am
Sunset this evening (15 September)………………………………. 7:36 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (16 September)…………………………………. 7:16 am
Sunset tomorrow (16 September)………………………………….. 7:35 pm