Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Above Average Daytime High Temperatures For One More Day with a Dry Cold Front Ushering in Cooler Air by Tonight into Tomorrow; Rain Chances Dropped from Weekend Forecast with Drought Conditions Intensifying with Wildfire Danger Potential (Tu/15Oct2024)

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Courtesy of WeatherStem, check out the latest CURRENT
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On weekends and other University holidays when this site is not updated,
I encourage you to check out the latest NWS Austin-San Antonio forecast
for metro Austin at THIS LINK.

In times of severe and/or inclement weather, you can follow the latest area
watch, advisory and warning updates from our local NWS Austin-San Antonio
office through their WEBSITE.. or by reading the actual text products (always
the most recent at the top of the page) through THIS LINK which is courtesy of
the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Always check the date and time of issuance
of these NWS text products since, in periods of tranquil weather, the latest
products may be outdated and/or expired.

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS / IH35 CORRIDOR
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… Drought Conditions Worsen with Associated Wildfire Danger Potential Increasing …

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NOAA / NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER (NHC)
7 DAY OUTLOOK FOR THE TEXAS COAST…

There are no tropical weather threats to the Texas coast over the next seven days.

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS / IH35 CORRIDOR
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) With the a stable and drier air in place, we’ll see afternoon high temperatures well above seasonal averages today.

(2) A dry cold front will move in from the northeast (what we call a “backdoor” cold front) tonight with much cooler temperatures making their way southwestward into the IH35 corridor. Gusty east northeasterly wind will increase our grassfire/wildfire threat especially for tomorrow as relative humidity levels drop.

(3) As the cooler surface high pressure area moves eastward, an east to southeasterly surface wind returns some low level moisture into our area by late week into the weekend. Even so, a pretty stable weather pattern will prevail with the earlier slimrain chances dropping from the forecast. With the dry weather pattern persisting, drought conditions continue to worsen across our IH35 corridor and we are seeing grassfire/wildfire danger potential increasing as evidenced by several grassfires around the area over the last week. Our saving grace, so far, has been a relative lack of wind but with fall here it is only a matter of time before we get a stronger fall cold front pass with gusty northerly wind. We need to watch this closely.

Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance, no rainfall is forecast for our IH35 corridor counties over the next seven day period.

MY LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High confidence forecast.

Troy’s Weather Forecast
for Austin / University of Texas and the IH35 Corridor
Updated Tuesday / 15 October 2024

TODAY (15Oct)…. Sunshine and unseasonably warm. High 99. Calm wind becoming southwesterly 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear with a cold front passes after midnight. Low 63. Light wind becoming northeasterly 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY (16Oct)…. Sunshine, breezy and cooler. High 75. Northeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Clear and cooler. Low 51. Winds diminishing becoming light easterly.

THURSDAY (17Oct)…. Sunshine. High 80. Light east southeasterly wind.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 57. Light east southeasterly wind.

FRIDAY (18Oct)…. Mostly sunny. High 84. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy and more humid. Low 62. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY (19Oct)…. Mostly sunny. High 85. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 62. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY (20Oct)…. Mostly sunny. High 86. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 61. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY (21Oct)…. Mostly sunny. High 87. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 22 October 2024 through Monday / 28 October 2024
Temperatures… Much Above Average
Precipitation… Near to Slightly Below Average

AUSTIN SUNRISE/SUNSET TIMES…..
Today (Tu/15Oct)……………………………………………….. 7:33 am / 7:00 pm (- 1 minutes)
Tomorrow (We/16Oct)………………………………………… 7:34 am / 6:59 pm (- 2 minutes)
Thursday (17Oct)……………………………………………….. 7:35 am / 6:57 pm (- 3 minutes)

tk