Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Cooler Temperatures In the Wake of Our Early Morning Cold Front; A Warm Up by Friday Through the Weekend with a Mix of Clouds and Sunshine; Another Weak Cold Front Due on Monday (We/28Feb2024 Update)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Wednesday / 28 February 2024

My Audio Will Not Be Updated Today…

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Hazards Anticipated …

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) As expected, as supported by an upper level trough, or line, of low pressure moving through the central and northern plains states, a stronger surface cold front surged Across the IH35 corridor between 5 and 6am this morning. Some post frontal mid and high cloudiness and much cooler temperatures will continue today. A secondary upper level low pressure disturbance, passing tomorrow into tomorrow night, will keep the clouds through Thursday night. At this point, I am not excited about any rain chances with the passage of the secondary upper air disturbance.

(2) Clouds will break with south southeasterly surface winds returning along with a partly cloudy sky Friday through the upcoming weekend. Temperatures will warm back to above seasonal averages.

(3) Although timing is still uncertain, a weak cold front looks to pass through the area on Monday into Monday night with temperatures falling only a couple of degrees as drier air arrives Tuesday. Once again, I am not confident enough to include any rain chances in the Monday forecast.

Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance, little or no rainfall is forecast for our IH35 corridor over the next seven day period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high forecast confidence through tomorrow night. My forecast confidence returns back to high to very high for Friday through Sunday before falling back to medium to high confidence, reference the timing for the cold front along with any rain chances, Monday. High to very high forecast confidence for Tuesday.

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Wednesday / 28 February 2024

TODAY (28Feb)…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Windy and cooler. Temperatures holding in the 50s. Northerly wind 15 to 25 mph with higher gusts.

TONIGHT…. Mostly cloudy and cooler. Low 47. North northeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

THURSDAY (29Feb)…. Mostly cloudy. High 57. East northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming more easterly in the afternoon.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Low 51. Easterly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light.

FRIDAY (01Mar)…. Mostly cloudy early in the morning then turning partly cloudy as a warm front returns northward through the area. High 76. Light wind early becoming south southeasterly 5 to 12 mph by late morning.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 57. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY (02Mar)…. Partly cloudy. High 83. South southwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early then becoming mostly cloudy. Low 61. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY (03Mar)…. Mostly cloudy early then becoming partly cloudy. High 81. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy. Low 63. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY (04Mar)…. Morning low clouds becoming partly cloudy as a cold front passes by afternoon. High 82. Southwesterly winds shifting northerly 8 to 15 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy and a little cooler. Low 55. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY (05Mar)…. Mostly sunny. High 77.Northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 06 March 2024 through Tuesday / 12 March 2024
Temperatures… Near to Slightly Above Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNRISE/SUNSET TIMES…..
Today (We/28Feb)……………………….. 6:58 am / 6:29 pm
Tomorrow (Th/29Feb)………………….. 6:57 am / 6:30 pm