Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Slim Rain and Thunderstorm Chances Today Followed by a More Stable Late Spring Weather Pattern Through the Upcoming Weekend (Tue/06Jun2023)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Tuesday / 06 Jun 2023

…. Not Available Today ….

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… A Lightning Threat With Any Thunderstorm Later Today into Early Tonight …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) Even with more in the way of sunshine today, lingering slim rain and thunderstorm chances continue into early tonight with an associated lightning threat as well as a gusty wind threat around any storms much as we saw yesterday.

(2) Upper level high pressure, acting like a “lid” on the atmosphere, will continue to strengthen particularly tomorrow through the end of the week and through the weekend with increased sunshine. As that occurs, afternoon highs will rise to above seasonal averages with a few 100 degree temperatures Friday into the weekend especially west and southwest of Austin. In addition, afternoon heat stress index values will rise above 100 degrees. I don’t see any precipitation in our forecast for tomorrow (Wednesday) through the weekend.

Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance, rainfall will average less than 0.25 inch today into early tonight with no rain expected for the IH35 corridor over the blance of the seven days forecast period.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast continues through the seven day forecast period.

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Thursday / 01 June 2023

TODAY (06Jun)…. Partly sunny. Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms after 1pm with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20%chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.15 inch. High 90. Light winds becoming easterly 4 to 8 mph except strong, gusty and variable around any thunderstorms.

TONIGHT…. Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat before 7pm. Otherwise, mostly clear. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05 inch. Low 69. Light easterly wind becoming calm.

WEDNESDAY (07Jun)…. A few morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 92. Light wind becoming easterly 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 70. Light east southeasterly wind becoming calm.

THURSDAY (08Jun)…. Mostly sunny. High 94. Calm wind southwesterly 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 72. Light south southwesterly wind.

FRIDAY (09Jun)…. Mostly sunny. High 98. Afternoon heat index around 101. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 73. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY (10Jun)…. Mostly sunny. High 99. Afternoon heat index 102 to 103. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 18 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Becoming partly cloudy. Low 74. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY (11Jun)…. Mostly sunny. High 98. Afternoon heat index around 101. Southerly wind 8 to 18 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 73. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY (12Jun)…. Mostly sunny. High 98. Afternoon heat index around 101. Southerly wind 8 to 18 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 13 June 2023 through Monday / 19 June 2023
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (06Jun)…………………………………………. 6:29 am
Sunset this evening (06Jun)…………………………………………… 8:31 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (07Jun)……………………………………………… 6:29 am
Sunset tomorrow (07Jun)………………………………………………. 8:31 pm