Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Windy and Cooler to Start the Week (10a, Mon/28Sep2020)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Monday / 28 September 2020 ….

  
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Hazards Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) A strong cold front moved through the Austin area in the 2 to 3am hour this morning with few light patches of rain and isolated rain showers. Following this frontal passage, we’ll much cooler temperatures and strong northerly winds today under a clearing sky. This pattern will persist into mid week with a warming trend in advance of a another weaker reinforcing cold front due by midday into afternoon on Thursday. This will basically keep the dry weather pattern in place late week through our upcoming weekend.

(2) An observational note to conclude on today.. the NWS/National Hurricane Center (NHC) is anticipating surface low pressure to develop over the coming days over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. According to NHC meteorologists, there is a 30% chance of development into a tropical cyclone over the next 5 days as the system drifts west northwestward. I’ll keep an eye on this system.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, for the IH35 corridor over the next seven days, forecasts no precipitation with temperatures near to slightly below average overall through Sunday.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
Today through Sunday..
Very High confidence

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Monday / 28 September 2020

TODAY…. Partly cloudy in the morning then mostly sunny in the afternoon. Windy and cooler. High 77. Northerly wind 18 to 28 mph with some gusts to 35 mph into mid afternoon with winds decreasing thereafter.

TONIGHT…. Clear. Low 53. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph early becoming 5 to 10 mph after midnight.

TUESDAY…. Sunshine. High 79. North northwesterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 53. Winds becoming light early and then calm late.

WEDNESDAY…. Sunshine. High 85. Light or calm wind.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 58. Light or calm wind.

THURSDAY…. Sunshine as a weak cold front passes late in the afternoon. High 87. Light or calm wind becoming north northeasterly 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 59. Light northeasterly wind.

FRIDAY…. Sunshine. High 82. East northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 58. Light easterly wind becoming southeasterly after midnight.

SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 84. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 64. Light southeasterly wind.

SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 86. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Monday / 05 October 2020 through Sunday / 11 October 2020…
Temperatures… Near Average    
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (28 September)…………………………….. 7:23 am
Sunset this evening (28 September)………………………………. 7:20 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (29 September)…………………………………. 7:23 am
Sunset tomorrow (29 September)………………………………….. 7:18 pm