Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Wednesday / 22 July 2020 ….
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
.. Chances Continuing to Increase for Tropical Cyclone Development Over Gulf ..
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES…
(1) A general area of upper level high pressure, acting like a “lid” on our atmosphere, has, as advertised, has weakened and shifted more north of the area. A weak disturbance has moved into east Texas and with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms expected locally later today into this evening.
(2) As the atmosphere becomes a little more stable tomorrow, rain chances will drop from the forecast.
(3) As advertised, the next west northwestward moving tropical wave is forecast to move through the Gulf of Mexico this week arriving in the northwestern Gulf of Mexico by late Thursday through Friday and then moving ashore of the Texas coast by Friday night into the weekend with better rain chances locally with some of that rainfall potentially heavy. With the now increased NWS/National Hurricane Center chance of tropical cyclone development, all interests along and onshore of the Texas coast should closely monitor the latest information from the National Weather Service, the National Hurricane Center and trusted weather sources over the next few days. Be a good critical thinker.. avoid unknown/untrusted social media sources that display the worse case forecast scenarios in order to get the most social media “clicks.”
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Wednesday / 22 July 2020
TODAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 0.25″. High 93. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph except strong, gusty and variable around any thunderstorms.
TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 77. Light southeasterly wind.
THURSDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 100 with an afternoon heat index of 103 to 107. Light east southeasterly wind.
THURSDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 78. Light east southeasterly wind.
FRIDAY…. Partly cloudy in the morning with increasing clouds in the afternoon. Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat by mid and late afternoon. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 0.25″. High 96 with an afternoon heat index of 99 to 103. Light east southeasterly wind becoming more east northeasterly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 40%chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 0.25″. Low 76. East northeasterly wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph except strong, gusty and variable around any thunderstorms.
SATURDAY…. Cloudy with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 70% chance of rain; rainfall will average 0.75″ to 1.75″. High 87. North northeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph except strong, gusty and variable around any thunderstorms.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 70%chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average .50″ to 1″. Low 75. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph diminishing late and becoming more south southeasterly after midnight. Winds strong, variable and gusty around any thunderstorms.
SUNDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 50% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average 0.50″. High 89. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph except strong, gusty and variable around any thunderstorms.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 30%chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 0.25″ or less. Low 75. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph except strong, gusty and variable around any thunderstorms.
MONDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 0.25″. High 92. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph except strong, gusty and variable around any thunderstorms.
MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 20% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 0.25″. Low 75. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
TUESDAY…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 30% chance of rain; rainfall, where it occurs, will average less than 0.25″. High 93. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph except strong, gusty and variable around any thunderstorms.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 29 July 2020 through Tuesday / 04 August 2020…
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Above Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (22 July)………………………………….. 6:44 am
Sunset this evening (22 July)……………………………………. 8:31 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (23 July)………………………………………. 6:44 am
Sunset tomorrow (23 July)………………………………………… 8:30 pm