Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

** Umbrella Weather Continues ** (Tu/11Feb2020)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Tuesday / 11 February 2020 ….

      
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

.. A Lightning Risk with Any Thunderstorm Today Through Tonight ..
.. Localized Flooding Possible with Periods of Heavier Rain Today and Tonight ..

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES…

(1) A complex upper air low pressure storm system is crossing the area with clouds and rain chances continuing until the system passes late on Wednesday.  A cold front has ushered in cooler surface based air that will be overrun by gulf moisture as the upper air system passes. Upwards of 1 to 2 inches of rain is possible over our area between now and late tomorrow.

(2) As a secondary “back door” (moving in from the north northeast) cold front moves through the area, skies will clear, from west to east, late Wednesday into Wednesday night with sunshine and warmer temperatures returning for the latter part of the week into our upcoming weekend.

(3) By late Saturday into Sunday, another upper air low pressure disturbance will approach and the old weakening cold front in the Gulf  of Mexico will turn back northward as a warm front. As our atmosphere turns more unstable, clouds will increase and rain chances will return by late Saturday through Sunday into Monday. Another cold front will be moving through Texas by Monday into Tuesday of next week.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Tuesday / 11 February 2020

TODAY…. Cloudy and unseasonably cool with rain showers and a few thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 80% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average .50″. High 48. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TONIGHT…. Cloudy with rain showers and a few thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. Periods of heavy rain possible. A 100% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average .75″ to 1.75″. Low 46. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Cloudy with rain showers and a few thunderstorms, with an associated lightning risk, in the morning with rain chances decreasing in the afternoon. A 80% chance of rain in the morning decreasing to 40%in the afternoon; where rainfall occurs, it will average .25″. High 58. West northwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Decreasing clouds becoming partly cloudy. Low 40. Light northerly wind.

THURSDAY…. A few clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 56. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 34. Light north northeasterly wind.

FRIDAY…. Sunshine. High 59. Light east northeasterly wind becoming east southeasterly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Becoming partly cloudy. Low 43. East southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light.

SATURDAY…. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy. High 64. Easterly wind becoming more southeasterly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with a few sprinkles developing. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. Low 54. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Mostly cloudy and warmer with scattered rain showers. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.10″ or less. High 73. Southeasterly wind increasing to 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.10″ or less. Low 57. Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers in the morning. Decreasing clouds becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. A 30% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.10″ or less. High 74. South southeasterly wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK          
Valid Tuesday / 18 February 2020 through Monday / 24 February 2020…
Temperatures… Above Average   
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (11 February)………………………………….. 7:14 am
Sunset this evening (11 February)……………………………………. 6:16 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (12 February)………………………………………. 7:13 am
Sunset tomorrow (12 February)……………………………………….. 6:17 pm