Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Tuesday / 22 September 2020 ….

  
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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… Tropical Cyclone Beta Weakens Over Texas Coastal Plains …
… Rain Chances Continue Today Then Decreases Tonight …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) Tropical cyclone Beta has moved ashore of the Texas coastal plains around Victoria and has weakened as it has started, as forecast, to move very slowly northeastward. The system will continue to move slowly northeastward through southeast Texas paralleling the upper Texas coast. Rain chances will continue locally through tonight when the system moves more northeastward into southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana.

(2) A drier and more stable weather pattern will take hold for the IH35 corridor in the wake of Beta by tomorrow and continuing through much of the weekend with sunshine and warmer temperatures returning.

(3) A cold front will move through the area by midday into afternoon on Sunday. A relatively dry and stable air mass in advance of the front will keep rain out of my forecast.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, in a very high confidence forecast, suggests the potential of less than 0.10″, in general, for the IH35 corridor over the next seven days (through Monday) with temperatures near to slightly below seasonal averages.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
Today through Sunday..
Very High confidence

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Tuesday / 22 September 2020

TODAY…. Cloudy with scattered patches of rain and a few rain showers mainly south and southeast of the Austin area. A 50%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.10″ or less. High 75. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with isolated rain showers mainly east of the Austin area. A 20%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average trace amounts. Low 68. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Decreasing clouds early becoming partly cloudy by midday into afternoon. High 80. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 64. Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 83. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 61. North northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light and variable late.

FRIDAY…. Sunshine. High 86. Light west southwesterly wind.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 65. Light wind.

SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 89. Light south southeasterly wind.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 67. Light southeasterly wind.

SUNDAY…. Mostly sunny as a cold front passes by afternoon. High 90. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph shifting northerly 8 to 15 mph and gusty by afternoon.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 64. Northerly wind decreasing to 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY…. Sunshine. High 86. North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Tuesday / 29 September 2020 through Monday / 05 October 2020…
Temperatures… Below Average    
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (22 September)…………………………….. 7:19 am
Sunset this evening (22 September)………………………………. 7:27 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (23 September)…………………………………. 7:20 am
Sunset tomorrow (23 September)………………………………….. 7:26 pm