Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

TK’s Special Briefing….

Austin / Travis County and South Central Texas Weather Update #3
Prepared by UT University/Incident Meteorologist Troy Kimmel
740am CT – Wednesday / 12 November 2014

… First Freeze of the Season Possible Tonight into Early Thursday …

On this Wednesday morning, arctic surface high pressure is centered from Texas back
north northwestward into Montana and into western Canada.

Much colder air continues to filter south southeastward across the area with near or
slightly below freezing temperatures possible in the overnight hours tonight and again
Thursday night/Friday morning especially in outlying and low lying areas.

Complicating factors that we’ll need to watch will be wind and cloud cover… winds will
need to decrease a bit while any cloud cover, that does develop and/or move into the
area, will keep it warmer than it would otherwise be.

At this point, the NWS/Austin-San Antonio hasn’t issued any freeze watches/warnings
for our metro IH35 corridor area. You should continue to monitor the latest NWS
issuances for the latest updates.

By the end of the weekend.. with the approach of an upper air low pressure disturbance..
we’ll begin to set up an “overrunning” pattern where moisture from the Gulf of Mexico
returns and rides up and over the colder surface based air. Clouds and rain chances will
increase by late Friday into our upcoming weekend.

The latest guidance suggests that another reinforcing cold front will move across the area..
ushering in more of this unseasonably cold air.. by late next weekend.

I’ll continue to keep you informed..  tk