Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Sunshine and Summer Like Heat Continues; Weather Changes for Next Week (Fr/08Oct2021)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Friday / 08 October 2021

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Threats Expected …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) With a stable weather pattern still in place, surface high pressure is moving east of the area into the weekend with a return south southeasterly surface wind and a slow return of Gulf moisture to our area.

(2) A cold front and associated upper air low pressure disturbance will move into Texas by late Sunday night into Monday but the front is expected to weaken and wash out before it reaches our area. However, atmospheric instability and the increased moisture will result in increased cloud cover and a first wave of rain shower and thunderstorm activity after sunset Sunday night into early Monday as the front weakens and remains northwest of the local area. The front will, later on Monday, lift back northward as a warm front.

(3) Another upper air low pressure disturbance and second stronger, cold front will move into our area by late Tuesday into Wednesday with another round of rain and thunderstorms. The system appears to be a slow mover, however, with rain chances and then cooler temperatures prevailing for the latter part of next week.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance, over the next seven days, is predicting 1.00 to 1.50 inches through Thursday.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High confidence through Thursday.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Friday / 08 October 2021

TODAY…. Sunshine. High 91. Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TONIGHT…. Clear. Low 65. Light south southeasterly wind.

SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 93. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Clear. Low 69. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Sunshine, breezy and unseasonably warm. High 95. South southwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Becoming partly cloudy early then mostly cloudy after 9pm. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat after 11pm. Where rainfall occurs, given a 50% chance of rain, it will average 0.25 inch. Low 70. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

MONDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat before 9am. Where rainfall occurs, given a 50% chance of rain, it will average an additional 0.25 inch. High 91. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 72. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY…. Becoming partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat after 12 noon. Where rainfall occurs, given a 50% chance of rain, it will average an additional 0.25 inch. Some brief morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 92. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. Where rainfall occurs, given a 30% chance of rain, it will average 0.25 inch. Low 73. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms as a cold front  moves southeastward through the area by late afternoon. Where rainfall occurs, given a 50% chance of rain, it will average 0.25 inch. High 87. South southwesterly wind shifting northwesterly 8 to 15 mph by late afternoon.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy and a little cooler with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. Where rainfall occurs, given a 50% chance of rain, it will average 0.25 inch. Low 66. North northwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms. Where rainfall occurs, given a 50% chance of rain, it will average 0.25 inch. High 84. North northwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Friday / 15 October 2021 through Thursday / 21 October 2021…
Temperatures… Above Average  
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (08 October)……………………………………….. 7:29 am
Sunset this evening (08 October)…………………………………………. 7:08 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (09 October)……………………………………………. 7:29 am
Sunset tomorrow (09 October)…………………………………………….. 7:07 pm