Troy Kimmel Weather

Forecasting Austin and South Central Texas Weather Since 1984

Rain and Thunderstorm Chances and Not as Warm For a Change! (Wed/02Sep2020)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Wednesday / 02 September 2020 ….

 

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tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorm …
… Strong Straight Line Thunderstorm Wind Gusts to 35 to 45 mph Possible …

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) A trough, or line, of upper level low pressure is approaching us from the northwest. Given abundant low level moisture and increased atmospheric instability, I expect scattered rain showers and thunderstorms continuing for the remainder of the week.

(2) A return to a slightly more stable weather pattern with more abundant sunshine for the upcoming weekend. Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms are still expected.

(3) Longer range outlooks are now suggesting a general pattern chance which could potentially bring an unseasonably strong cold front into Texas by the mid part of next week just beyond the end of the seven day forecast period.  

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
.. Today through Saturday..
Medium to high confidence (factor: rain chances)
.. Saturday Night through Tuesday..
High confidence  

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Wednesday / 01 September 2020

TODAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 50%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″. High 98. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph except strong, variable and gusty around any thunderstorms.

TONIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 40%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″. Low 77. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 30%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″. High 96. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph except strong, variable and gusty around any thunderstorms. Winds becoming light and variable in the afternoon.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 40%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″. Low 76. Wind light and variable.

FRIDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 50%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″. High 95. Wind light and variable.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 40%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25″. Low 75. Light and variable wind.

SATURDAY…. Partly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 30%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25″. High 95. Light easterly wind.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 20%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25″. Low 74. Light wind.

SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 20%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25″. High 95. Light southeasterly wind.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 73. Light southeasterly wind.

MONDAY /LABOR DAY/…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 20%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25″. High 95. Light southeasterly wind.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 73. Light southeasterly wind.

TUESDAY…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. A 20%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 0.25″. High 95. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK           
Valid Wednesday / 09 September 2020 through Tuesday / 15 September 2020…
Temperatures… Below to Much Below Average    
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (02 September)…………………………….. 7:08 am
Sunset this evening (02 September)………………………………. 7:53 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (03 September)…………………………………. 7:09 am
Sunset tomorrow (03 September)………………………………….. 7:51 pm