Slim Rain Chances with Summer Heat Continuing (Fr/19Jun2020)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Friday / 19 June 2020 ….

      
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

.. A Lightning Risk with and Thunderstorms Today into Tonight ..

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES…

.. Widely Scattered Showers and Thunderstorms ..
.. Summer Heat Continues ..

(1) Temperatures will be a bit above seasonal averages, as a south southeasterly surface wind flow prevails across the area as the atmosphere turns a bit more unstable. Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms are possible today into tonight and again on Sunday.

(2) Even though I’m not convinced yet, I will be watching the latter part of next week for potential rain chances. Although there are signals of an overall weather pattern change, the computer models are not at all consistent so I will hold off on the rain chance mention for now but it is something we need to watch.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Friday / 19 June 2020

TODAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″ or less. High 94. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming strong, gusty and variable around thunderstorms.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered evening rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk before 9pm. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″ or less. Low 74. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 96. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 72. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY /FATHERS DAY/…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 20%chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″ or less. High 95. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming strong, gusty and variable around thunderstorms.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered evening rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk before 9pm. A 20% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 0.25″ or less. Low 74. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 95. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 75. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 96. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Becoming partly cloudy. Low 75. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 95. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 75. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 95. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK          
Valid Friday / 26 June 2020 through Thursday / 02 July 2020…
Temperatures… Above Average   
Precipitation… Slightly Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (19 June)………………………………….. 6:29 am
Sunset this evening (19 June)……………………………………. 8:35 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (20 June)………………………………………. 6:30 am
Sunset tomorrow (20 June)……………………………………….. 8:36 pm

Summer Like Temps Continue with Elusive Rain Chances (Thu/18Jun2020)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Thursday / 18 June 2020 ….

      
Contact me:
[email protected]
[email protected]

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

.. A Few No Weather Hazards Expected ..

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES…

.. A Few Towering Clouds to Our South Southwest Today into Tonight ..
.. Otherwise, More of the Same ..

(1) A mostly stable weather pattern continues with temperatures near to a bit above seasonal averages, as a south southeasterly surface wind flow prevails. Even though low level moisture has increased with a few more clouds present, I believe precipitation chances remain elusive and I am not including precipitation in my forecast over the next seven days until my confidence increases. I will, however, watch today into tomorrow when rain chances appear to have increased a tad, especially in areas south through southwest of Austin, in the latest sets of atmospheric model guidance.

(2) Even though I’m not convinced yet, I will be watching Sunday /Father’s Day/ into Monday and middle and latter part of next week for the potential mention of rain chances in my later forecasts if I see a little more continuity in the latest longer range computer guidance.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Thursday / 18 June 2020

TODAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. A few afternoon towering clouds to the south and southwest. High 95. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 72. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. A few afternoon towering clouds to the south and southwest. High 95. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 72. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 96. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 72. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 95. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 74. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 95. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 75. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 96. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Becoming partly cloudy. Low 75. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 95. Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK          
Valid Thursday / 25 June 2020 through Wednesday / 1 July 2020…
Temperatures… Above Average   
Precipitation… Near to Slightly Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (18 June)………………………………….. 6:29 am
Sunset this evening (18 June)……………………………………. 8:35 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (19 June)………………………………………. 6:29 am
Sunset tomorrow (19 June)……………………………………….. 8:35 pm