TK’s Austin/South Central Texas Forecast (Mon/9Jan2012)

1:30pm CST.. Monday / 9 January 2012

TODAY…. Numerous rain and isolated thunderstorms.. a near 100% chance of rain. Steady temperatures around 50. Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph. Additional rainfall of 1 to 1 1/2 inches possible.

TONIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with a 50% chance of rain before midnight. Rain chances diminishing to 30% after midnight. Low 37 to 41. North northwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph. Additional rainfall.. where it occurs.. will average 1/4 inch.

TUESDAY…. A few clouds in the morning.. otherwise mostly sunny. High 57 to 61. Northwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 35 to 39. West northwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Sunshine and warmer. High 68 to 72.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 39 to 43.

THURSDAY….. Partly cloudy as a cold front passes before sunrise. Turning windy and colder. High 48 to 52.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. A clear sky. Low 28 to 32.

FRIDAY…. Sunshine. High 52 to 56.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 30 to 34.

SATURDAY…. Partly cloudy. High 57 to 61.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 32 to 36.

SUNDAY…. Partly cloudy and warmer. High 60 to 64.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 16 Jan 2012 through Sunday / 22 Jan 2012…
Temperature… Above Average
Precipitation… Slightly Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (9 Jan)…………… 7:29 am
Sunset this evening (9 Jan)……………. 5:48 pm
Sunrise Tuesday (10 Jan)………………. 7:29 am
Sunset Tuesday (10 Jan)……………….. 5:49 pm

….AUSTIN AREA POLLEN COUNT….
…RECORDED FRIDAY / 6 JANUARY 2012…
(Note: This is the most recent report that has been provided.
This count is updated as provided on weekdays only and is
courtesy of Austin Allergy Associates and Dr. T. Ray Vaughn
and Dr. P. Dennis Dyer)

Molds….. 660 gr/cubic meter (Moderate) – Up Since Last Reading
Grasses….. 0 gr/cubic meter (Low) – Down Since Last Reading
Weeds…… 0 gr/cubic meter (Low) – Down Since Last Reading
…Breakdown of Weeds:
…None Reported …
Trees…… 2110 gr/cubic meter (Very High) – Up Since Last Reading
…Breakdown of Trees:
…Cedar 2110 …

TK’s Weather Discussion (Mon/9Jan2012)

…. Rains Diminish as Upper Air Moves Eastward Across Texas ….
…. A Strong Cold Front.. Dry in Nature.. To Move Across The Area Early Thursday ….

On this Monday… a cold front extends from northern Mexico into a south Texas surface low around Corpus Christi. A stationary front extends from the surface low into southeast Texas.. central Louisiana and central and northern Mississippi. A dome of surface high pressure area was to our northwest over the intermountain west. As a result of this surface pressure pattern, surface winds are north northwesterly across our area.

In the upper levels of the atmosphere… a rather deep trough.. or line.. of low pressure extends southward from Kansas and Missouri into southwest Texas where there is a eastward moving closed area of upper level low. As a result of this pressure pattern, the upper air winds over our area of Texas are strong southwesterly.

The upper level low pressure area.. over southwest Texas.. will move eastward over the next 24 hours with clouds and precipitation tapering off as the system moves off to the east northeast of the local area.

With the passage of the low by tomorrow, I expect clearing with warmer temperatures into Wednesday.

A strong cold front appears in the offing.. again, it looks like a dry system.. for the predawn hours on Thursday morning with much cooler air moving into the area for the latter part of next week.

Some of this morning’s model guidance hint at increasing clouds and renewed rain chances by late Saturday into Sunday and Monday of next week, but, at this time, I will keep us in a dry weather pattern until the models start agreeing on this forecast.

My forecast confidence through the remainder of the week (after tonight) is high to very high. My forecast confidence is medium for early into mid parts of next week.

For Austin and south central Texas… tonight will be mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles .. most likely in the evening hours.  Lows around 40. North northwesterly winds 8 to 15 mph.  For tomorrow, mostly sunny and warmer. Highs will make it into the 60s. North northwesterly wind 10 to 18 mph.

Have a goo Monday night and Tuesday…
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel